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Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 4:02 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Calcio Padova and Reggiana promises to be a tense relegation battle. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15, this match at the Euganeo Stadium could prove decisive in the fight for survival. The home side currently sit 14th with 37 points, while the visitors are 18th on 33, just four points behind. With only a few rounds left in the season, every point gained or lost could have major consequences for both teams’ futures in the division.
Calcio Padova come into this fixture after a crucial 1-0 victory over Empoli on April 12, which ended a run of five consecutive defeats. Despite that morale-boosting win, their overall form remains inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have recorded just one win, no draws, and four losses, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.8. Over the course of the season, their Serie B record stands at 9 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
At home, Padova have struggled to maintain consistency, often finding it difficult to convert chances into goals. The team’s attacking line has underperformed, and several key players have failed to make a decisive impact in the final third. However, the recent victory against Empoli may serve as a turning point, restoring some confidence ahead of this crucial encounter. The home crowd will expect a disciplined performance, especially given the importance of securing points against a direct rival in the relegation zone.
Reggiana also achieved a vital win last weekend, defeating Carrarese 2-0 on April 12. That result lifted them off the bottom of the table, but they remain in a precarious position, sitting 18th and still in need of points to escape the drop. In their last five matches, Reggiana have managed one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their season record in Serie B shows 8 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Defensively, the team has struggled, conceding heavily in several recent outings. In four of their last seven matches, they have allowed at least three goals, highlighting a lack of stability at the back. Moreover, Reggiana have lost at half time in each of their last three away games, suggesting difficulties in starting matches strongly. On a more positive note, their matches tend to produce plenty of action, with over 7.5 corners taken in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. Offensively, the absence of a prolific scorer has been a major issue — their top marksman, Portanova, has only managed seven goals this season.
The recent history between Calcio Padova and Reggiana has been balanced. In their last five meetings, Padova have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, with both sides averaging 0.8 goals scored per match. The most recent encounter ended 1-2 in favor of Reggiana on December 13, 2025. These statistics suggest that matches between the two teams are typically tight and low-scoring affairs.
From a tactical perspective, both sides are expected to approach the game cautiously. Padova will likely rely on their home advantage and aim to build on the momentum from their last victory. Their main challenge will be improving efficiency in front of goal, as their scoring rate remains among the lowest in the league. Reggiana, on the other hand, will focus on defensive organization and counterattacks, hoping to exploit any gaps left by the hosts. Given their recent defensive issues, maintaining concentration throughout the 90 minutes will be crucial for the visitors.
Considering the similar profiles of both teams — limited attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities — this fixture could easily turn into a tight, low-scoring contest. The psychological pressure of a relegation battle often leads to cautious play, and both managers will likely prioritize avoiding defeat over taking excessive risks.
Everything points toward a balanced and hard-fought encounter. Calcio Padova will try to capitalize on their home advantage and the boost from their recent win, but their offensive inefficiency remains a concern. Reggiana face similar issues, with a struggling defense and limited attacking options. Given the context, a low-scoring match seems the most plausible outcome, with both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity over attacking risk.
Based on the statistical data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match favors the “No” option in Both Teams To Score (BTTS), reflecting a 49% probability. This aligns with the general trend of low-scoring games involving these two sides and the importance of avoiding costly mistakes in a relegation six-pointer.
Calcio Padova vs Reggiana prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score – No (49% probability).
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Calcio Padova
Reggiana
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
6
4
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1