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Prediction published on Oct 25, 2026 7:32 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 25, 2026 7:32 PM
Calcio Padova host Südtirol at the Stadio Comunale Euganeo on Tuesday, October 27, in a midweek Serie B fixture scheduled for 19:00 local time. Padova arrive after a 1-0 away win over Avellino, a welcome result in a season that has been difficult to predict. Südtirol drew 1-1 with Sampdoria in their latest match and have taken two points from their last three games. With Padova 10th and Südtirol seventh, this match brings together two sides close in the standings but with different records so far. The goals data also deserves attention: Südtirol have kept first halves relatively quiet, while Padova’s recent home league games have consistently featured a goal after the break.
Calcio Padova came away from Avellino with a 1-0 victory on October 24, despite going into that match as the less-fancied side. It was a notable result for a team whose performances have fluctuated. Across their last five matches, Padova have recorded two wins and three defeats, without a draw. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over that stretch.
Their Serie B record stands at three wins, one draw and four defeats. Season-long averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match help explain why the Avellino win matters: Padova secured three points with a single goal while keeping a clean sheet. The question for this Calcio Padova vs Südtirol preview is whether they can follow that result with another positive performance, rather than continue the uneven pattern of their first eight league games.
One timing trend stands out in Padova’s matches. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 10 home Serie B fixtures, and the same has happened in 18 of their last 20 league matches overall. Those figures refer to goals scored by either team, not necessarily by Padova. They suggest that even if this fixture starts slowly, there has often been a decisive change on the scoreboard after half-time in Padova games.
Südtirol began the season well after a poor finish to the previous campaign, but their recent results have been less convincing. Their 1-1 draw against Sampdoria on October 24 left them with two points from three matches. Over their last five games, they have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.6 per match.
The broader Serie B record is stronger than that recent five-game sequence: three wins, four draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. That gives Südtirol fewer league losses than Padova, although their recent results show why they cannot take their seventh-place position for granted. Their trip to Padova offers a chance to turn a run of draws and defeats into a win.
Südtirol’s first-half statistics are particularly relevant to the likely rhythm of this contest. Their last 12 Serie B matches have all featured fewer than two goals before half-time. Three of their last 10 league games finished without a goal from either side, while the same has been true in three of their last 12 matches across the wider sample provided. Those goalless results do not describe every Südtirol performance, but they underline the possibility of a tight game.
The contrast between Padova’s latest win and their overall form makes a result in the 1X2 market difficult to judge from the recent evidence alone. Südtirol have lost only once in eight Serie B matches, yet have won just one of their last five. Padova’s two victories and three defeats over the same span point to a side capable of winning, but not one that has regularly sustained positive results.
The head-to-head record offers little separation. Across the five meetings covered by the supplied summary, Calcio Padova have one win, Südtirol have one win and three matches have ended level. Padova have averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in those games. The most recent meeting, on January 25, 2026, finished 3-0, so a low-scoring match is not guaranteed simply because the overall head-to-head figures are modest.
For this Serie B match preview, the clearest shared theme is the potential for limited scoring. Padova have averaged fewer than one goal scored per league game, while Südtirol’s season average for goals conceded is also below one. Südtirol’s sequence of low-scoring first halves adds to that picture, although Padova’s second-half trend cautions against assuming the score will stay unchanged throughout. Taken together, the figures point more clearly towards a modest total than towards either team as a clear winner.
Calcio Padova vs Südtirol prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Calcio Padova
Südtirol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2