Tools
Carabobo
2 - 1
FT
Academia Puerto Cabello
Prediction published on Jun 6, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Venezuela - Primera Division | Modified on Jun 6, 2026 5:02 PM
The grand final of the Liga FUTVE promises to deliver an intense and emotional showdown as Carabobo FC face Academia Puerto Cabello this Sunday. Both teams arrive after impressive performances in the quadrangular stage, each seeking their first national title. The match, scheduled at the Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, will crown the new champion of Venezuelan football and close a season full of surprises and comebacks.
Carabobo FC come into this decisive match with strong momentum after a spectacular 1-5 victory over Metropolitanos on May 31, a result that secured their place in the final thanks to goal difference. Despite finishing seventh in the regular phase, the team has shown remarkable improvement in the decisive rounds, displaying both attacking power and defensive stability.
In their last five matches, Carabobo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their season stats in the Primera División reflect consistency: 7 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. One of their most impressive traits is their resilience at home — they have not lost at half-time in their last 14 home matches and have drawn at half-time in 12 of those encounters.
Leading the offensive line is Loureins Martínez, who has been the standout performer for Carabobo. His five goals in the decisive stage, including four in the match that sealed their qualification, make him a key figure to watch. The home advantage and their unbeaten record against this opponent (3 wins and 2 draws in the last five meetings) further strengthen their position as favorites.
Academia Puerto Cabello have also impressed in the final stretch of the season, showing determination and tactical discipline. Their 0-2 away win against Deportivo La Guaira on May 31 allowed them to finish top of Group A with 10 points, a result that boosted their confidence ahead of this final. Although they advanced to the quadrangulars as the last qualified team, their recent performances have proven they can compete at the highest level.
In their last five matches, Puerto Cabello have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Over the season, they have registered 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Their away form has been mixed, with Under 0.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 16 away matches, suggesting a cautious approach when playing outside their home ground.
Their main attacking threat is Andres Ponce, who scored in the last match of the quadrangulars and has accumulated three goals in that stage. His ability to find space and finish under pressure could be crucial if Puerto Cabello are to challenge Carabobo’s solid defense.
The recent history between these two sides favors Carabobo, who remain unbeaten in their last five meetings with Academia Puerto Cabello (3 wins, 2 draws). The most recent encounter ended 1-1 on March 23, 2026. Across those matches, Carabobo have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, highlighting their defensive superiority.
Given the context of a final, both teams are expected to prioritize defensive organization and patience in attack. The last three head-to-head matches have produced fewer than three goals, a trend that could continue considering the stakes and the balanced nature of both squads. Carabobo’s home strength and Puerto Cabello’s disciplined away performances suggest a tight, tactical battle where small details could decide the outcome.
Everything points to a balanced and competitive final, with Carabobo FC slightly favored due to their home advantage and superior head-to-head record. Their attacking form, led by Loureins Martínez, and their defensive consistency make them a strong candidate to lift the trophy. However, Academia Puerto Cabello have shown resilience and the ability to perform under pressure, particularly in away matches.
Considering the statistical trends and the nature of finals, a low-scoring match is likely, with both teams focusing on avoiding mistakes rather than taking excessive risks. The combination of Carabobo’s defensive solidity and Puerto Cabello’s cautious approach could lead to another close contest decided by a single goal.
Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Carabobo
Academia Puerto Cabello
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0