Carrarese host Arezzo on October 28 in a midweek Serie B meeting between two Tuscan sides. The match at Stadio dei Marmi comes after defeats for both teams: Carrarese lost 2-1 to Palermo on October 25, while Arezzo were beaten 3-0 at home by Benevento a day earlier. With Carrarese 16th on seven points and Arezzo 11th on ten, both have reason to view this as an important early-season contest. Their recent results also set up an intriguing contrast: the hosts have won twice in their last five matches, whereas the visitors have managed one victory over the same span.

Carrarese's Recent Form and Key Stats

Carrarese arrive back at home looking to respond to their narrow defeat against Palermo. Before that result, they had beaten Padova and Modena, collecting six points across those two games. The Palermo loss ended that winning sequence, but the 2-1 scoreline was a closer result than Arezzo's defeat in their most recent outing.

Across their last five matches, Carrarese have recorded two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their Serie B record stands at two wins, one draw and five losses, with season averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Scoring has therefore been a challenge, even during a stretch that brought victories against Padova and Modena.

Low totals have been a consistent feature of Carrarese's fixtures. Their last 12 matches have all finished under 3.5 total goals, as have their last 11 in Serie B. Each of those same sequences has also featured under 1.5 goals in the first half. Four of Carrarese's last 17 home league matches ended without a goal from either side. Those figures make the opening stages worth watching closely, particularly with both teams coming off defeats.

Arezzo's Recent Form and Key Stats

Arezzo have ten points after eight Serie B matches, having won three, drawn one and lost four. For a newly promoted side, that record leaves them three points ahead of Carrarese going into this fixture. Their latest result, though, was a heavy setback: Benevento won 3-0 at Arezzo on October 24.

The visitors have won only once in their last four league games, with that success coming against Sampdoria. Looking at their last five matches, they have taken one win and one draw alongside three defeats. In that spell, Arezzo have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their season scoring average is 1.0 goal per match, while their average of 2.1 conceded points to a more difficult campaign defensively than Carrarese's figures suggest for the hosts.

Arezzo's first-half statistics provide another angle on this match. Under 1.5 goals have been scored before the interval in 20 of their last 21 away matches and in 36 of their last 40 matches overall. That does not determine what will happen on Wednesday, but it aligns with Carrarese's long run of games featuring no more than one first-half goal.

Carrarese vs Arezzo Match Analysis

The difference between these teams' league positions is small, and the supplied win probabilities are close: 37% for Carrarese, 26% for a draw and 36% for Arezzo. Their recent form offers a different comparison. Carrarese have won two of their last five matches and conceded an average of one goal per game; Arezzo have won one in five and conceded an average of two. Whether the hosts can turn that recent edge into a result is the central question of this Serie B preview.

Goals data require a measured reading. Carrarese's long under-3.5 sequence and both sides' first-half records point toward a potentially restrained start, while Arezzo's season average of 2.1 goals conceded gives the home side an opportunity to improve on their own scoring average. The teams' last meeting, on January 14, 2024, finished 2-3. Across the five meetings in the supplied head-to-head summary, Carrarese have two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.

Both sides will be seeking an immediate response after losing their previous matches. Carrarese can draw encouragement from their recent wins over Padova and Modena, while Arezzo will be trying to recover from the Benevento result and find more goals than they have produced across their last five games. With little separating them in the win probabilities, the hosts' stronger recent record gives them a narrow case for victory rather than a clear-cut advantage.

Carrarese vs Arezzo prediction from BetMines: Carrarese win (1) with 37% probability.