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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 3:03 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Carrarese and Bari 1908 promises to be a tense and balanced encounter, especially considering both sides are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. Scheduled for Saturday at 15:00, this match at the Stadio dei Marmi could prove decisive in shaping the mid-table battle. The hosts currently sit 13th with 20 points from 17 games, while Bari 1908 are 16th with 17 points. Both teams have drawn heavily this season, suggesting another tight contest may be on the cards.
Carrarese have shown resilience throughout the campaign, collecting 4 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats in Serie B. Their matches often reflect a fine balance between attack and defense, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The team’s recent form includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five outings, scoring 1.2 goals per match while conceding 2.6. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw against Mantova on December 27, 2025, a game that underlined their defensive discipline but also their struggles in front of goal.
At home, Carrarese’s performances have been unpredictable but generally competitive. Four of their last ten home matches in Serie B have ended with Under 0.5 total goals, confirming a tendency for low-scoring affairs when playing in front of their supporters. Despite this, they have managed to maintain a steady rhythm, with eight draws overall this season — nearly half of their total matches — highlighting their ability to stay in games even when not at their best.
Bari 1908 have endured a difficult campaign so far, struggling to convert draws into victories. With a record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, they find themselves hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone. Their recent form paints a similar picture: 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. The 1-1 draw against Avellino on December 27, 2025, extended their winless streak to over two months.
One of Bari’s biggest weaknesses has been their away form. The team has not won any of their last 16 away matches in all competitions, including 15 consecutive winless trips in Serie B. Their attack has struggled to find consistency, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in each of their last two away games. Additionally, Bari have failed to lead at half-time in 19 of their last 20 matches, often finding themselves chasing results rather than controlling them.
Both sides have shown a strong tendency to draw matches, and their current form suggests another evenly contested battle. Carrarese’s home record and Bari’s inability to win away make the draw a realistic outcome. The hosts have been slightly more productive in attack, but their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Bari, on the other hand, have tightened up defensively but continue to struggle in front of goal, averaging less than one goal per match this season.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced. In their last two meetings, Carrarese won 2-1 at home, while the reverse fixture ended 0-0. Given the current dynamics, a low-scoring match is likely, with Under 2.5 goals appearing as a strong possibility. The statistical probabilities also support a cautious approach: Carrarese have a 44% chance of winning, Bari 25%, and the draw stands at 30%.
Considering both teams’ patterns — Carrarese’s frequent stalemates and Bari’s long winless run away from home — the most probable outcome seems to be another draw. Both sides will likely prioritize avoiding defeat over taking risks, especially given their positions in the lower half of the table.
Carrarese vs Bari 1908 prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 30% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Carrarese
Bari 1908
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2