Carrarese welcome Benevento to the Stadio dei Marmi on September 19 for a Serie B fixture between two teams looking to improve difficult starts to the season. The hosts enter the match in 19th place after collecting only one point from four league games, while Benevento sit 15th with four points. Carrarese are still searching for their first victory, whereas the visitors arrive after recording their first league success of the campaign. With only two percentage points separating the teams in the supplied win probabilities, the contest appears competitive, although Benevento’s recent breakthrough gives the away side a narrow statistical advantage.

Carrarese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Carrarese have opened their Serie B campaign with one draw and three defeats. Their latest result was a 1-0 loss against Catanzaro on September 12, extending a difficult sequence in which the home side have failed to win any of their last five matches. Across that period, Carrarese recorded one draw and four defeats, scoring an average of only 0.4 goals per game and conceding 1.2.

Their season figures tell a similar story. Carrarese are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per Serie B match, highlighting the lack of attacking output that has contributed to their winless start. Their two league goals have been scored by Abiuso and Pinelli. Finding a greater threat in the final third will therefore be one of the main challenges for a team that cannot afford to rely solely on keeping the score close.

The hosts have also struggled to establish an advantage during the opening half of matches. Carrarese have not been ahead at half-time in 21 of their last 22 games, while the same outcome has occurred in 20 of their previous 21 Serie B fixtures. These numbers suggest that strong starts have been particularly difficult to produce.

• Serie B record: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats.
• Last five matches: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats.
• Average league goals scored: 0.5 per match.
• Average league goals conceded: 1.3 per match.

Despite the poor run, Carrarese return home knowing that a positive result could begin to change the direction of their campaign. Their cautious approach has often kept the focus on small margins, but they will need more efficiency around the opposition goal if they are to secure their first three points.

Benevento Recent Form and Key Statistics

Benevento travel to Carrara after a morale-boosting 3-1 victory over Hellas Verona on September 11. That was their first win of the Serie B season and lifted their record to one victory, one draw and two losses. Having spent three years in Serie C before returning to Serie B, the visitors are attempting to build momentum at the higher level.

Over their last five matches, Benevento have registered one win, one draw and three defeats. They averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded during that sequence. Their league averages are more balanced, with 1.3 goals both scored and allowed per fixture. Although those numbers do not point to complete defensive control, they show greater attacking production than Carrarese have managed so far.

Continuity under Floro Flores and the arrival of Okereke have been identified as important elements for the visitors. The victory against Hellas Verona may now provide a platform from which Benevento can seek a second consecutive positive result. Their immediate task is to reproduce the attacking effectiveness shown in that 3-1 success without leaving the same amount of space suggested by their recent goals-conceded average.

• Serie B record: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
• Last five matches: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats.
• Average league goals scored: 1.3 per match.
• Average league goals conceded: 1.3 per match.

Benevento are not arriving with consistently positive form, but they have achieved something Carrarese are yet to manage this season: a league victory. That result, combined with their stronger scoring average, gives the visitors a modest edge before kick-off.

Carrarese vs Benevento Match Analysis

The available statistics indicate a closely matched Serie B contest rather than one with an overwhelming favorite. The estimated win probabilities give Carrarese 36%, the draw 26% and Benevento 38%. The visitors therefore hold only a slight advantage, meaning the outcome could depend on which side handles the decisive moments more effectively.

Carrarese’s main concern remains their limited scoring return. They have produced just two goals in four league fixtures and only 0.4 per match across their latest five outings. Benevento, by comparison, have averaged 1.3 goals in Serie B and have just scored three against Hellas Verona. If the away side carry that confidence into this game, the hosts may be forced to take more attacking initiative than their recent performances have shown.

The head-to-head figures reinforce the idea of a balanced matchup. The overall summary from Carrarese’s perspective stands at two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 2-2 on June 2, 2024, although the current season statistics present a Carrarese side finding goals difficult to obtain.

The goal markets are also finely divided. Both teams to score is rated at 54%, compared with 46% for the opposite outcome, while over 2.5 goals stands at 51% and under 2.5 at 49%. Those narrow margins underline the uncertainty surrounding the game. Benevento’s 3-1 win provides evidence of attacking potential, but Carrarese’s low scoring averages point in the other direction.

Overall, Benevento approach the fixture with the stronger immediate result, the higher league position and the better attacking average. Carrarese have home advantage and a balanced historical record against these opponents, but their lack of victories and repeated difficulty in taking a half-time lead are significant concerns. The visitors’ edge is small rather than decisive, yet their recent win makes an away success the most coherent conclusion among the available match-result options.

Carrarese vs Benevento prediction from BetMines: Benevento win (2) with 38% probability.