Carrarese and Empoli meet in an all-Tuscan contest on Saturday, September 5, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time. This third-round Serie B fixture will be played at the Stadio dei Marmi in Carrara, where both teams will attempt to establish some early momentum after collecting mixed results across the opening two matches. Carrarese are still searching for their first league victory of the season, while Empoli arrive after following an opening win with a heavy away defeat. With neither side having produced consistent performances so far, the match could be decided by small details rather than clear superiority.

Carrarese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Carrarese have started their Serie B campaign with one draw and one defeat. Their most recent appearance ended in a 1-1 draw against Ascoli on August 29, after they had previously lost to Mantova. That return of one point from two rounds places the hosts 14th in the early standings and leaves them looking for a first victory as they continue their bid to secure survival at this level for a third consecutive season.

Their wider sequence also points to a difficult spell. Across the last five matches, Carrarese have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. In this Serie B season, their averages stand at one goal scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Those numbers show that the hosts have not been completely shut out as an attacking force, but they have yet to find the production required to compensate consistently for goals allowed at the other end.

The first half has been a particular area of concern. Carrarese have failed to be ahead at half-time in 19 of their last 20 matches, as well as in 30 of their last 32 Serie B fixtures. Their home league record also contains six matches with no goals from the last 20, illustrating the possibility of a cautious or unproductive contest when they play at the Stadio dei Marmi. Home advantage may still offer an opportunity, but the hosts need greater control and efficiency if they are to turn competitive periods into three points.

Empoli Recent Form and Key Statistics

Empoli began their league season with a notable 1-0 victory over Cremonese, but they were unable to build on that result. Their second fixture produced a 3-1 defeat away to Mantova on August 30. Consequently, the visitors travel to Carrara with three points from two games and occupy 11th place in Serie B.

Over their latest five matches, Empoli have collected one victory, three draws and one defeat. They averaged one goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game during that sequence. Their current league figures are almost identical to those of Carrarese: an average of one goal scored and 1.5 conceded. The defeat to Mantova exposed defensive problems, although Empoli did at least manage to find the net in that match.

Several away trends suggest that the timing of the action could be important. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Empoli's last 21 away matches, including all of their previous 19 Serie B away fixtures. The same second-half goal pattern has appeared in 19 of their last 21 matches overall and in 18 of their last 20 league games. This creates a clear contrast with Carrarese's repeated failure to lead at the interval and indicates that the contest may become more open after the break.

Empoli have also conceded at least once in each of their last 12 away matches. At half-time, however, they have drawn their previous six away games in Serie B. These figures support the possibility of an initially balanced encounter before more space develops later. Another notable away statistic is that more than 7.5 corners were taken in 20 of Empoli's last 21 matches on the road, showing that their away fixtures have regularly generated activity in wide areas and around the penalty boxes.

Carrarese vs Empoli Match Analysis

This Tuscan meeting brings together two teams with identical early-season scoring and conceding averages, but their paths to those numbers have been different. Carrarese remain without a win after two rounds, whereas Empoli have already experienced both a narrow victory and a two-goal defeat. The available win probabilities give Carrarese a 44% chance, compared with 28% for the draw and 27% for an Empoli victory, making the hosts the single most likely winner without suggesting an overwhelming advantage.

The head-to-head information offers Carrarese further encouragement. They are unbeaten across the supplied two-match summary against Empoli, with one win and one draw, while averaging 2.5 goals scored and one conceded. The latest meeting finished 3-0 on January 23, 2026. Nevertheless, the recent attacking averages of both teams are more restrained, especially Carrarese's return of 0.6 goals per match across their last five outings.

The statistical balance leans slightly toward a controlled scoreline. The probability for under 2.5 goals is 57%, compared with 43% for over 2.5, while the Both Teams To Score assessment is almost evenly divided: 49% for Yes and 51% for No. Empoli's run of conceding away from home gives Carrarese a route to goal, but the hosts' limited recent scoring record reduces the case for a high-scoring match.

A patient opening phase appears plausible because Carrarese rarely lead at half-time and Empoli have repeatedly gone into the interval level in away league fixtures. The strong second-half goal sequences attached to Empoli's matches suggest that the decisive moments may arrive after the restart. Overall, the evidence points toward a closely fought Serie B derby in which one or two goals could have a major influence on the outcome.

Carrarese vs Empoli prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.