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Prediction published on Feb 6, 2026 12:01 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Feb 6, 2026 12:01 AM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Carrarese and Südtirol promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Saturday afternoon, this encounter at the Stadio dei Marmi brings together two teams currently separated by just one point in the standings. Both sides have been performing well in recent weeks and are looking to consolidate their mid-table positions while keeping a safe distance from the relegation zone. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw, suggesting another tight contest could be on the cards.
Carrarese approach this match after a narrow 2-1 defeat against Venezia on January 31. Despite the loss, the performance was encouraging, as they held the league leaders until the final minutes. Their recent form remains solid, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. During this period, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, showing a good balance between attack and defense.
Over the course of the season, Carrarese’s record stands at 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their home performances have been relatively consistent, though some of their matches at the Stadio dei Marmi have been low-scoring — Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 4 of their last 11 home games. This suggests that while they are capable of controlling matches, they sometimes struggle to convert chances early on.
Currently sitting 9th in Serie B, Carrarese are eight points clear of the relegation zone, a comfortable position for a team whose main objective remains survival. The team’s recent resilience and ability to compete against stronger opponents have been key factors in their positive run. With confidence still high despite the recent setback, Carrarese will aim to use their home advantage to return to winning ways.
Südtirol have been one of the most in-form teams in the league in recent weeks. Their 2-1 victory over Catanzaro on January 31 marked their fourth win in five matches, with no draws and only one defeat in that span. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, highlighting both their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.
Across the season, Südtirol’s record mirrors that of their upcoming opponents: 6 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Their matches tend to be tight affairs — Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 17 Serie B games, and Under 1.5 goals in the second half in the last 10. This pattern suggests a disciplined and compact approach, often focused on maintaining control rather than chasing high-scoring outcomes.
Another notable trend is that Südtirol have led at half time in their last three matches, showing their ability to start games strongly. Now sitting 10th in the table, they have climbed out of the danger zone and can play with less pressure. Their recent performances indicate a team full of confidence, capable of competing on equal terms with any opponent in the division.
The historical record between these two sides is evenly balanced. In their last five meetings, Carrarese have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0. The most recent encounter, played on November 8, ended 1-1, with both teams finding the net. This result reflects the general trend of their matchups — competitive, closely fought, and often decided by small details.
Given their current form, both teams are likely to approach this match with confidence. Carrarese will rely on their home support and structured defense, while Südtirol’s recent attacking momentum could make them dangerous on the counter. The fact that both sides are comfortably above the relegation zone allows them to play more freely, potentially leading to an open and entertaining contest.
With both sides showing similar strengths and weaknesses, a balanced game is expected. Carrarese’s slight home advantage could be offset by Südtirol’s recent momentum, making a draw or a narrow win for either side plausible. The attacking form of both teams suggests that goals at both ends are a realistic scenario.
Statistically, the probabilities for this match are very close: Carrarese win 47%, Draw 28%, and Südtirol win 25%. The data also indicates a 45% chance for Both Teams To Score (Yes) and a 60% likelihood of Under 2.5 goals. These figures underline the expectation of a balanced, low-to-medium scoring contest.
Considering the recent performances and the head-to-head history, this fixture could once again produce goals on both sides. Carrarese’s solid home form and Südtirol’s attacking confidence make the Both Teams To Score option particularly appealing for this encounter.
Carrarese vs Südtirol prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Carrarese
Südtirol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2