The 28th round of Liga Portugal concludes with an intriguing clash between Casa Pia and Benfica, scheduled for Monday evening at 20:45. The match takes place at the Municipal Stadium of Rio Maior and carries significant weight for both sides, each under pressure for different reasons. The home team is fighting to escape the relegation play-off zone, while the visitors are chasing the top positions and cannot afford to drop points at this stage of the season.

Casa Pia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Casa Pia enter this fixture sitting in 15th place in Liga Portugal, with a record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats. Their average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match highlights a team that struggles defensively but still finds ways to compete. The “Gansos” have collected most of their points at home, where they have shown resilience and determination. In fact, they have won at half time in their last four home matches, a sign of their strong starts when playing in Rio Maior.

However, recent results have been mixed. In their last five league games, Casa Pia have managed just one victory, alongside two draws and two defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.8. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 4-0 defeat against Estrela Amadora on March 20, a result that pushed them closer to the relegation zone. Despite that setback, the team remains competitive at home, where they have not lost since November. The fans will hope that this strong home form continues against one of the league’s giants.

Historically, Casa Pia have found it difficult to overcome Benfica, with a head-to-head record showing 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. The last meeting between the two sides ended in a 2-2 draw on November 9, 2025, proving that the underdogs are capable of troubling the Lisbon powerhouse when playing with confidence and discipline.

Benfica’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Benfica arrive in Rio Maior in excellent form, currently sitting 3rd in Liga Portugal. Their season record of 19 wins, 8 draws, and no defeats underlines their consistency and strength. The “Eagles” have scored an impressive average of 2.2 goals per match while conceding only 0.6, making them one of the most balanced teams in the competition. They remain unbeaten in their last 25 league matches, a remarkable run that reflects both their attacking power and defensive solidity.

In their most recent match, Benfica secured a 3-0 victory over Vitória Guimarães on March 21, further consolidating their position near the top of the table. Over their last five games, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat across all competitions, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Away from home, they have been equally reliable, with only two of their last ten away fixtures featuring under 0.5 total goals.

Despite their strong record, Benfica face some challenges in terms of squad availability. Several key players remain sidelined or doubtful, particularly in midfield, which could affect their rhythm. Nevertheless, the visitors are expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances, as they aim to keep pressure on the teams above them in the standings. A win here would ensure they remain in control of their own destiny in the race for second place.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Tactical Overview

This encounter promises to be a fascinating contrast of styles. Casa Pia will likely rely on their collective organization and home advantage, seeking to frustrate their opponents and capitalize on counterattacks. Their ability to score early at home could be crucial, especially given their recent trend of leading at half time in front of their supporters. On the other hand, Benfica are expected to take the initiative, pressing high and using their attacking depth to break down Casa Pia’s defensive lines.

Given the context, both teams have reasons to approach the match with intensity. Casa Pia’s fight for survival adds emotional weight, while Benfica’s pursuit of the top two positions leaves no room for complacency. The last head-to-head meeting, which ended 2-2, suggests that goals could be on the cards once again. However, Benfica’s defensive record this season indicates that they will be difficult to break down twice in a row.

• Casa Pia average 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match.


• Benfica average 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match.


• Casa Pia have won at half time in their last 4 home matches.


• Benfica have won at half time in 9 of their last 14 league games.


• Last head-to-head: 2-2 on November 9, 2025.

All these indicators point to a match where both teams could find the net, but Benfica’s superior quality and unbeaten record make them clear favorites to take all three points. Casa Pia’s home resilience, however, means that the visitors cannot afford to underestimate their opponents.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction

Based on the statistical trends and current form, this fixture could feature goals from both sides. Casa Pia’s strong home performances and Benfica’s attacking consistency suggest an open contest, particularly in the first half. While the home team will fight hard to secure a vital result, Benfica’s experience and depth should ultimately make the difference.

Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 44% probability.