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Casa Pia
7:15 PM
August 17, 2026
Benfica
Prediction published on Aug 15, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Aug 15, 2026 8:04 PM
Casa Pia host Benfica at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior on Monday at 20:15 in the second round of the Liga Portugal season. Both teams are searching for their first league victory after disappointing opening results. Casa Pia began with a 1-0 defeat against newly promoted Marítimo, while Benfica were held at home by Académico de Viseu. That draw has increased the pressure on the visitors to collect three points in their first away league fixture, particularly after conceding twice in their opening match. Benfica must also manage this domestic assignment between European ties: they drew 1-1 with Hearts on August 13 to confirm their place in the Europa League play-off, where Aarhus will be their next opponent. The immediate priority, however, is a Liga Portugal fixture in which Casa Pia are ranked 16th and Benfica 10th after one round.
Casa Pia approach their first home league match after an unconvincing sequence of results. Their 1-0 loss to Marítimo on August 8 followed a difficult pre-season in which they managed only one victory across six games. That success was a 2-1 result against Estrela, while four of the other fixtures ended in defeat, including a 6-2 loss to Leixões. Although friendly results do not carry the same importance as competitive matches, that run did little to build momentum before the start of the campaign.
The opening-round performance in Funchal continued those concerns. Casa Pia conceded during the second half and could not produce the response required to change the outcome. Their current Liga Portugal record therefore stands at zero wins, zero draws and one defeat, with no goals scored and an average of one conceded. Across their last five matches in all competitions, the hosts have recorded one victory and four losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Filipe Coelho is working with a young squad containing several new arrivals, and the team is still trying to establish a clearer identity. The pressure to earn its first points could become another factor against an opponent expected to demand long periods of concentration. Casa Pia do at least have players with experience of scoring against Benfica: Cassiano, Livolant and Lawrence Ofori have all done so previously. However, only Ofori was used in the opening league fixture. Cassiano’s availability remains uncertain, while Livolant is under disciplinary measures and both players have been linked with departures.
Henrique Araújo was selected ahead of Cassiano against Marítimo, while goalkeeper André Gomes is another member of the Casa Pia squad with a past connection to Benfica. João Pedro, also known as JP, is set to join the group but will not be available for this match. The home side’s immediate challenge is to improve its attacking output without becoming more exposed against visitors who have consistently found the net.
Benfica travel to Rio Maior unbeaten across their last five matches, a sequence consisting of three victories and two draws. During that run, they averaged an impressive 3.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.0. Their latest outing was the 1-1 draw away to Hearts, a result that completed a comfortable Europa League qualifying success following a 6-1 victory in the first leg.
Marco Silva made several changes for the second meeting with Hearts, giving opportunities to players who had not been regular starters. The performance was generally positive before Benfica lost some intensity in the second half. More significant in the domestic context was the draw with Académico de Viseu. The attacking volume was encouraging, but defensive hesitation allowed a newly promoted opponent to score twice and take a point. Benfica’s season record in Liga Portugal is consequently zero wins, one draw and zero defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
The broader league sequence is much stronger: Benfica have gone 26 Liga Portugal matches without defeat and have scored at least once in each of their last 15 league games. They have also registered at least two goals in 18 of their previous 20 league fixtures. In addition, each of their last 15 Liga Portugal matches produced more than 1.5 total goals, as did their last 10 away games across the available sample.
Several players who began the Hearts match among the substitutes could return to a more prominent role. The article identifies Rafa, Prestianni and Tomás Araújo as candidates to return, although Prestianni is competing with Lukebakio, who scored in Scotland. Pavlidis is also expected to regain an important attacking role after being rested against Hearts. His six goals and one assist in four matches underline his productive start.
Fredrik Aursnes could make his first official appearance of the season. If used, he would reach 200 games for Benfica, although a place from the start is described as unlikely. Samuel Soares is expected to retain the confidence placed in him in goal. The visitors also bring notable first-half numbers into this fixture: they have not been behind at the interval in their last 13 matches, have led at half time in their previous three Liga Portugal away games, and have held a half-time advantage in 10 of their last 14 league fixtures.
The contrast in recent form gives Benfica the stronger statistical platform. Casa Pia have lost four of their last five matches and struggled to create a meaningful reaction after falling behind against Marítimo. Benfica, by comparison, remain unbeaten in their last five overall and across their last 26 Liga Portugal games. Their consistent scoring record suggests the hosts will need a substantial improvement in both defensive organisation and attacking efficiency.
There are nevertheless reasons for Benfica to remain cautious. Both teams have scored in each of their last 10 away matches, while more than 0.5 second-half goals have been recorded in their previous 10 away fixtures. The visitors also failed to win any of the last three meetings with Casa Pia, and the most recent head-to-head ended 1-1 on April 6, 2026. Across the five-match head-to-head summary, Casa Pia have one win, Benfica two, and two games have finished level, with Casa Pia averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Benfica should still arrive with a clear need to control the contest after dropping points in their league opener. The forthcoming Europa League play-off may influence the wider schedule, but the importance of recovering domestic ground makes this match a major immediate test. Casa Pia’s poor recent results and low scoring average create a difficult backdrop, while Benfica’s run of scoring in 18 consecutive matches and their record of frequent first-half leads point towards an assertive approach from the visitors. The key question is whether Benfica can turn their attacking volume into a first league
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Casa Pia
Benfica
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
0
10
2.5
8
2
2
8
3.5
9
1
4
6
4.5
9
1
7
3