Tools
Prediction published on Feb 28, 2026 7:02 AM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Feb 28, 2026 7:02 AM
The upcoming Liga Portugal Betclic fixture between Casa Pia and Moreirense promises to be a balanced and intriguing contest. Scheduled for Sunday at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, this match marks round 24 of the Portuguese top flight. Both sides are eager to bounce back after recent defeats, with Casa Pia looking to move further away from the relegation zone and Moreirense aiming to consolidate their position in the top half of the table. The first meeting between these two teams earlier in the season ended 2-1 in favor of Moreirense, suggesting another competitive encounter could be on the cards.
Casa Pia enter this match sitting 13th in the Liga Portugal standings with 22 points. Their recent 2-0 defeat away to Famalicão halted a four-game unbeaten streak, but the team has shown signs of improvement under their current management. Over their last five matches, Casa Pia have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Despite their struggles earlier in the season, the Gansos have been more resilient at home, going five consecutive matches without defeat in Rio Maior.
Across the campaign, Casa Pia’s record stands at five wins, seven draws, and eleven losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. Interestingly, they have led at half time in each of their last three home games, showing a tendency to start strongly in front of their supporters. However, defensive lapses have often cost them points late in matches. Only two of their last ten league fixtures have seen fewer than 0.5 total goals, indicating that their games tend to produce scoring opportunities at both ends.
In terms of personnel, Casa Pia have been dealing with several absences due to injuries, but their attacking line remains competitive. The experienced Brazilian forward Cassiano and French winger Livolant have been key figures in their offensive play, often providing the spark needed to unlock opposing defenses. With the home crowd behind them, Casa Pia will be determined to secure a vital win that could create a comfortable cushion above the relegation playoff zone.
Moreirense currently occupy 8th place in the Liga Portugal table with 33 points, level with Estoril. Despite a strong start to the season, their recent form has dipped, with three defeats in their last four matches, including a 3-0 home loss to reigning champions Sporting CP. Over their last five outings, the Cónegos have managed two wins and three losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall season record stands at ten wins, three draws, and ten defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
One of Moreirense’s strengths this season has been their away form. They rank as the seventh-best team on the road, having collected 14 points away from home. Their matches tend to open up after the break — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 29 of their last 32 fixtures, and in 35 of their last 39 league games. This pattern suggests that Moreirense often grow into matches and find their rhythm as the game progresses. Additionally, under 10.5 corners have been recorded in each of their last 16 league matches, reflecting a controlled and compact style of play.
In attack, the team has been adjusting since the departure of their former striker Schettine, with players like Alanzinho and Kiko Bondoso stepping up to fill the void. However, injuries to several key squad members have limited their options in recent weeks. Despite these challenges, Moreirense remain a disciplined and organized side capable of producing strong performances away from home, as shown throughout the season.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar recent trajectories. Casa Pia are fighting to stay clear of the relegation battle, while Moreirense aim to reestablish their momentum and push closer to the European qualification spots. The hosts have shown resilience at home, while the visitors have proven to be a tough opponent on the road. Historically, their head-to-head record slightly favors Moreirense, who have won three of the last five meetings, with Casa Pia winning twice. Those encounters have averaged 3.6 total goals, suggesting that goals are often part of this matchup.
Given both teams’ recent performances and statistical trends, a lively and open contest is expected. Casa Pia’s attacking intent, combined with Moreirense’s tendency to find goals in the second half, could lead to a match with several scoring chances. The home side’s early energy and the visitors’ late-game strength may balance each other out, making this a potentially entertaining fixture for neutral fans.
Casa Pia vs Moreirense prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2