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Casarano
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Salernitana
Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 2:04 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 2:04 PM
Casarano host Salernitana in Serie C: Girone C on Sunday, October 11, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza. The teams arrive with contrasting results behind them. Casarano are 14th after two consecutive defeats, while fifth-placed Salernitana beat Bari 1908 last time out and will be looking to build on that result. The visitors have the stronger recent record, but this is not a straightforward away assignment: Casarano have avoided trailing at half-time in 19 of their last 20 league matches, and Salernitana have often found themselves behind at the interval on their travels.
Casarano need a response after back-to-back losses. Their most recent result was a 2-0 defeat against Sorrento on October 3, leaving them with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five matches. Across that stretch, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Those figures suggest that their recent matches have been fairly balanced overall, even if the two latest results have gone against them.
The hosts have won three, drawn one and lost four of their Serie C: Girone C matches this season. Their averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game underline the challenge facing them: they need to regain momentum while limiting the chances available to an opponent coming off a win. The 14th-place ranking adds importance to this fixture, although their recent five-match record also shows that they have been capable of picking up victories.
One of Casarano's most distinctive league trends concerns the timing of goals. There has been at least one second-half goal in 24 of their last 25 Serie C: Girone C matches, counting goals by either team. They have also avoided a half-time deficit in 19 of their last 20 league games. Taken together, those records point to a side that frequently remains in contention through the opening period, with plenty still to be decided after the break.
Salernitana arrive after a 2-1 victory over Bari 1908 on October 4. For Serse Cosmi's team, the next test is turning that result into sustained progress. Their last five matches have brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, a stronger return than Casarano's over the same span. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 1.2 per match across those five fixtures.
Over the Serie C: Girone C season, Salernitana have three wins, three draws and two losses. Their scoring average stands at 1.5 goals per game, with 1.3 conceded. They sit fifth, ahead of Casarano in the rankings, but their three draws show that they have not always converted competitive performances into wins. Following the result against Bari 1908, an away victory here would give them consecutive league successes.
There is also a contrast between Salernitana's overall form and one of their away-game trends. They have been behind at half-time in 10 of their last 16 away matches in Serie C: Girone C. At the same time, at least one second-half goal, by either side, has featured in 21 of their last 23 matches. The visitors may therefore need patience if they are to make their recent form count against opponents who have regularly avoided trailing at the interval.
The clearest difference between the sides is in their immediate results. Salernitana have won three of their last five and come into the match on the back of a 2-1 success; Casarano have lost their last two, including the 2-0 defeat at Sorrento. Salernitana are also nine places higher in the Serie C: Girone C rankings. Those points give the away side a reason for confidence, though Casarano's need to halt their losing run makes their response an important part of this preview.
The head-to-head record offers a limited but relevant reference. Across the two meetings in the supplied summary, Casarano have no wins, one draw and one defeat against Salernitana. Casarano have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded in those matches, while the most recent meeting finished 3-0 on February 10, 2026. Those results cannot settle this fixture on their own, but they add to the case that Salernitana can compete for all three points.
How the match develops after half-time could be significant. Both teams have long runs of games featuring a second-half goal, while Casarano's record of avoiding half-time deficits sits alongside Salernitana's tendency to trail at the break in away league matches. That combination leaves room for a close opening period even if the visitors ultimately have the edge. Salernitana's better five-match return, higher ranking and win over Bari 1908 make them the stronger choice, provided they can carry that momentum into this trip.
Casarano vs Salernitana prediction from BetMines: Salernitana win (2) with 38% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Casarano
Salernitana
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1