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Casertana vs Monopoli Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie C: Girone C 10-10-2026

Casertana

3 - 1

FT

Monopoli

Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto
Davide Gandino
overcast clouds 18.62 °C

Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 12:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 12:33 PM

Casertana host Monopoli in Serie C: Girone C on October 10, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 12:30 local time at Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto. The sides are close in the standings, with Casertana eighth and Monopoli sixth, but they arrive with different recent records. Casertana are looking to respond to a defeat against Cavese, while Monopoli have gone five matches unbeaten. That contrast makes this a demanding fixture for the home side as Mister Stellone takes charge of the effort to revive their form.

Casertana's Recent Form and Key Stats

Casertana lost 2-0 away to Cavese on October 3. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their league record stands at three wins, three draws and two losses, with season averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.

Finding a route back to goal is an immediate concern after Casertana scored just once in their last three matches. Their home scoring record offers a counterpoint: they have scored at least once in each of their last 16 home matches, including their last 12 at home in Serie C: Girone C. Maintaining that run against Monopoli would be valuable, though recent results show that scoring has not come as readily for Casertana in the past few games.

There is pressure on the hosts to change direction after the loss to Cavese, but the numbers do not point to a straightforward home result. Casertana's attacking average over their last five matches is lower than their season figure, and the visitors have been difficult to score against recently. A home goal would continue a long-running pattern; turning it into a victory is a separate challenge.

Monopoli's Recent Form and Key Stats

Monopoli arrive unbeaten in five, having collected two wins and three draws. Their latest match was a 0-0 draw with Savoia on October 3. They have averaged only 0.8 goals scored across that five-game spell, but have conceded just 0.4 per match. Two goals against in five fixtures, both in the same game, mean they have kept four clean sheets during the run.

Their Serie C: Girone C record is three wins, three draws and two defeats. Monopoli's season averages of 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded underline how little they have typically given away. That defensive record helps explain why they sit sixth despite a modest scoring average. It also presents a clear test for a Casertana side seeking a response in front of its home crowd.

Several longer-term trends reinforce the prospect of a controlled contest. There have been under 3.5 total goals in 33 of Monopoli's last 35 matches, as well as 30 of their last 32 in Serie C: Girone C. Their second halves have been especially quiet: the last 13 Monopoli matches, including the last 10 in the league, have each featured fewer than 1.5 goals after the break. At least one team has failed to score in the second half in 28 of Monopoli's last 30 matches.

Monopoli have also not been ahead at half-time in their last 19 away league matches. That record does not rule out a positive result for the visitors, but it suggests they have rarely established an early lead on their league travels. Their combination of recent clean sheets and low scoring averages leaves little basis for assuming this match will open up quickly.

Casertana vs Monopoli Match Analysis

The teams' recent results create an intriguing balance. Casertana have a sustained home scoring streak, while Monopoli have kept four clean sheets in five matches. The hosts therefore have evidence that they can find a goal at home, but face an opponent whose defensive form has been a central part of its unbeaten run. Monopoli, meanwhile, have scored fewer than one goal per game on average both this season and over their last five fixtures.

The head-to-head figures are close: from Casertana's perspective, the five-match summary reads two wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded. Their most recent meeting ended 2-1 on March 15, 2026. One scoreline cannot settle the outlook for this fixture, particularly given Monopoli's repeated low-goal results and Casertana's recent difficulty in front of goal.

Overall, the strongest shared theme is the possibility of a tight scoreline rather than a clear advantage for either side. Casertana's home scoring run argues against overlooking their attack, yet Monopoli's clean sheets, low goals-against average and frequent matches below 3.5 goals all point towards limited scoring. With the sides close in the standings, the outcome may depend on whether Casertana can break through a defence that has proved hard to beat in recent weeks.

Casertana vs Monopoli prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 63% probability.

Casertana vs Monopoli - Predictions

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Casertana vs Monopoli: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Casertana

Monopoli

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

50%

5

50%

5

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Casertana and Monopoli in Serie C: Girone C

Girone C - Ranking

Team

5

Monopoli

11

5

3

3

13:9

18

1.64

W
D
L
W
W
8

Casertana

11

4

5

2

16:14

17

1.55

L
L
W
D
D
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Possible Promotion Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Casertana vs Monopoli: Frequently asked questions

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When will Casertana vs Monopoli be played?
The Serie C: Girone C match between Casertana and Monopoli will be played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30.
Where will Casertana vs Monopoli be played?
The match between Casertana and Monopoli will be played at Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, Caserta - Italy
Who will referee Casertana vs Monopoli?
The referee for the match will be Davide Gandino.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Casertana vs Monopoli in the Serie C: Girone C?
The odds are: Casertana to win 1.95, draw 3.00, Monopoli to win 3.70.
What are the betting odds for Casertana vs Monopoli for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie C: Girone C?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.25 and Under 2.5 at 1.61.
Will both Casertana and Monopoli score in the Serie C: Girone C?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.90, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Casertana vs Monopoli in the Serie C: Girone C?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Casertana and Monopoli?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Casertana and Monopoli, Casertana won 2 times, Monopoli won 1, and 2 ended in a draw.

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