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Castellonense
6:45 PM
October 27, 2026
Almería
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 3:40 PM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 3:40 PM
Castellonense host Almería in the Copa Del Rey on October 27, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time at Nou Estadi Castalia. The home side have risen quickly through the divisions and arrive after a 2-0 away win over Intercity. Almería bring the stronger recent record, though their latest outing ended in a 2-2 draw with Real Oviedo after they had led 2-0. Castellonense’s three consecutive home league wins give them reason for confidence, while Almería’s scoring form and Copa Del Rey first-half results provide the visitors with an encouraging backdrop.
Castellonense have made rapid progress in recent seasons. They reached Tercera Federación in 2023 and, after winning their group in the 2025-26 season, earned promotion to Segunda Federación for the first time. They are currently third in that division, level on points with leaders UCAM Murcia. Their Copa Del Rey meeting with Almería comes during a period in which they have also won their last three home league matches.
Their most recent result was a 2-0 victory away to Intercity on October 24. Across their last five matches, Castellonense have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Those figures show a side capable of finding goals while keeping its recent concession rate below one per match. The Intercity result was a particularly timely boost before facing an Almería team that have scored at a higher rate over the same five-match span.
Home form is another important part of Castellonense’s case. Three successive home league victories do not settle how a cup tie will unfold, but they do show that the hosts have been making the most of those recent fixtures. The challenge here is different: Almería have not lost any of their last five matches and have averaged more than two goals scored per game during that run.
Almería come into the tie with four wins and one draw from their last five matches. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per game in that sequence and conceded 1.0. Their unbeaten run gives them a strong recent record, although the latest result carried some frustration: they drew 2-2 at home to Real Oviedo on October 24 despite having been 2-0 ahead. That draw also cost them the lead in Segunda.
There has been plenty of goalmouth activity in Almería’s recent fixtures. Their last away match ended in a 4-2 win over Real Sociedad B, while both teams scored in three of their last four games. The Real Oviedo draw again featured goals at both ends. Those results underline Almería’s attacking output, but they also leave room for Castellonense to believe they can contribute to the scoreline.
Almería’s Copa Del Rey first-half record stands out. There has been at least one goal before half-time in each of their last 11 matches in the competition, including each of their last 10 away matches. They have also been ahead at the interval in seven of those 10 away cup fixtures. These are records from previous matches rather than a guarantee about Tuesday’s tie, but they make the opening period especially relevant to this preview.
This Copa Del Rey fixture brings together Castellonense’s recent home momentum and Almería’s five-match unbeaten run. The hosts’ 2-0 win at Intercity and three straight home league victories support the view that they arrive in good form. Almería, meanwhile, have won four of their last five and scored 2.4 goals per match across that stretch. Their 4-2 away win over Real Sociedad B offers a recent example of that scoring capacity on the road.
The first half is a notable area of comparison. Almería’s sequence of 11 consecutive Copa Del Rey matches with a goal before the break extends to 10 consecutive away matches in the competition. Castellonense have conceded only 0.8 goals per game over their last five, so the visitors’ first-half trend meets a home side with a solid recent concession figure. Whether that contrast carries into this match is uncertain, but it is one of the clearest statistical themes ahead of kick-off.
The overall result is less straightforward to judge from recent form alone. Castellonense have lost twice in five matches, yet have won their last three home league games; Almería have been unbeaten across five, but let a two-goal lead slip against Real Oviedo. The supplied win probabilities favour the visitors, while the home side’s recent results give this tie a competitive edge. For a match preview, Almería’s recurring early goals are the most consistent cup-specific evidence available.
Castellonense vs Almería prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 79% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Castellonense
Almería
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2