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Prediction published on Nov 19, 2025 8:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Nov 19, 2025 8:02 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Pescara promises to be a key encounter for both sides, albeit for very different reasons. Scheduled for Friday, November 21, at 20:30 in Calabria, this fixture marks the 13th round of the Italian second division. The hosts are looking to climb into the playoff zone, while the visitors desperately need to end a long and painful slump that has left them near the bottom of the table.
Catanzaro currently sit 11th in the Serie B standings with 15 points. Before their recent 1-0 defeat to Empoli on November 8, they had been in excellent form, stringing together three consecutive victories against Venezia, Mantova, and Palermo. Those wins, particularly against two of the league’s strongest sides, showcased the team’s quality and ambition. Now, with the playoff zone just one point away, the Calabrian side will aim to bounce back immediately in front of their home crowd.
Across their last five matches, Catanzaro have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Despite their solid performances, one recurring issue has been their slow starts: Catanzaro have failed to lead at half-time in 23 of their last 24 matches, a trend that continues to affect their ability to control games early on.
At home, however, they remain a tough opponent. The Stadio Nicola Ceravolo has often been their fortress, where the team’s attacking play and defensive organization tend to shine. With the support of their fans and the motivation of a potential playoff spot, Catanzaro will look to capitalize on their home advantage once again.
For Pescara, the situation is far more concerning. The Abruzzese side are currently 19th in Serie B with only 8 points, level with Sampdoria at the bottom of the table. After a promising start to the season, the newly promoted club has fallen into a deep crisis, failing to win since September 21. Their last two outings have been particularly painful: a 2-0 defeat to Palermo followed by a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Monza.
In their last five matches, Pescara have managed no wins, three draws, and two losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 2.2 per game. Their overall season record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, with 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. Defensive fragility has been their biggest problem, as they have struggled to contain opponents both at home and away.
Another worrying trend for Pescara is their poor away form. The team has collected just one point from their last five away fixtures, losing four of them. Despite showing some attacking intent — with Over 1.5 total goals recorded in each of their last 13 matches — their defensive lapses have repeatedly cost them valuable points. The last time they managed to keep a clean sheet feels like a distant memory, and their confidence appears to be at an all-time low.
This fixture brings together two sides heading in opposite directions. Catanzaro are a team on the rise, showing resilience and tactical discipline, while Pescara are struggling to find stability and confidence. The home side’s recent performances against top-tier opponents have demonstrated their ability to compete with the best in Serie B, and they will be eager to prove that the loss to Empoli was just a temporary setback.
Historically, Catanzaro have also had the upper hand in this matchup. In their last four meetings with Pescara, they have recorded three wins and one draw, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.5. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on March 26, 2023, but the overall record clearly favors the Calabrians.
For Pescara, the challenge will be to rediscover their defensive balance and avoid another heavy defeat. Their attack has shown flashes of potential, but without a solid backline, it will be difficult to contain a Catanzaro side that thrives on home momentum. The visitors’ poor away record and recent goal difference suggest that they will need a near-perfect performance to come away with anything from this match.
Given the current form and morale of both teams, Catanzaro appear to have all the ingredients to secure a crucial victory. Their superior organization, home advantage, and attacking consistency make them the clear favorites heading into this encounter.
The most likely outcome is a Catanzaro win (1) with a 51% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Pescara win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Catanzaro
Pescara
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
7
3
9
1