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Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 4:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 4:02 AM
Celje host Omonia Nicosia in the Europa League on October 15, 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 local time at Stadion Z'dežele. This matchday two meeting is the clubs’ first encounter. Celje are seeking their first points in the competition’s main draw after an opening defeat, while Omonia arrive having won their first match. Their recent form also differs, but Omonia’s results away from home in Europe give Celje reason to see this as an opportunity.
Celje received a timely lift on October 10, beating Aluminij 1-0 after a four-match winless spell that included three defeats. They now have a chance to record consecutive victories for the first time in 10 matches. Across their latest five fixtures, Celje have two wins, one draw and two losses, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Their Europa League opener was less encouraging: Celje lost 2-0 away to Bayer Leverkusen. That leaves them with no points from one match in this season’s competition, while the wider European record cited ahead of this fixture stands at just one win in seven. Home results offer no simple answer to those difficulties, either. Celje have failed to win five of their last eight home matches, so the Aluminij result is a welcome step rather than proof that their uneven run is over.
Celje are ranked 31st in the supplied Europa League standings, compared with 15th for Omonia. Their immediate task is to build on a clean-sheet victory while finding a way to score after drawing a blank in their opening European match.
Omonia Nicosia began this stage with a 1-0 home win over Celta Vigo, then followed it with two domestic victories in which they scored seven goals altogether. The latest was a 3-0 win against Karmiotissa on October 9. They travel to Celje unbeaten in five matches and with only one defeat in their last eight.
The visitors’ five-match figures underline their stronger recent run: four wins, one draw and no defeats, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Their supplied Europa League season record is three wins, one draw and one loss, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Two European wins feature in their current unbeaten sequence.
There is, however, an important distinction between Omonia’s overall form and their European away results. They have not won any of their last four away matches in Europe, losing three. Their Europa League games on the road have also tended to begin with few goals: each of their last 10 away fixtures in the competition has had under 1.5 first-half goals. Omonia have avoided a half-time deficit in 38 of their last 40 matches and have led at the break in 11 of their last 18 away games. Those figures suggest they can stay competitive early, even if recent European trips have not produced wins.
This Europa League preview turns on a clear contrast. Omonia bring the better five-match record and have scored freely in their two domestic games since beating Celta Vigo. Celje, by comparison, have averaged one goal across their last five matches and did not score against Bayer Leverkusen. If the visitors carry their recent attacking form into this fixture, Celje will need more than the single goal that secured their win over Aluminij.
Yet Omonia’s four-match winless run away in Europe makes their overall form difficult to apply directly to this trip. Celje have also struggled to turn home fixtures into victories, making it hard to treat either side’s recent record as decisive. The available win probabilities reflect that uncertainty: Celje are assigned 46%, Omonia 30% and the draw 24%.
The goal figures offer another angle. Omonia’s recent scoring average and seven goals across two domestic wins point to attacking potential, although their low-scoring first halves away in the Europa League suggest this match may take time to open up. Celje’s recent clean sheet provides encouragement for the hosts, while their first European result shows the challenge they face. The outcome may depend on whether Omonia can turn their current scoring form into a stronger away performance, or whether Celje can make home advantage count.
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
7
3