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Prediction published on Dec 9, 2025 9:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Dec 9, 2025 9:03 PM
The Europa League clash between Celta Vigo and Bologna promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the round. Both sides are still in contention for automatic qualification to the knockout stage, separated by just a single point in the standings. Celta Vigo currently sit in 10th place, while Bologna occupy 18th. With both teams showing flashes of quality in recent weeks, this encounter at Balaídos could be decisive in shaping their European ambitions.
Celta Vigo come into this match full of confidence after a stunning 2-0 victory over Real Madrid in La Liga. That result has lifted the mood around the Galician club, who will now look to extend their good run on the European stage. However, their last Europa League outing ended in a narrow 3-2 defeat to Ludogorets, a result that exposed some defensive vulnerabilities.
At home, Celta have been strong in this competition, winning both of their previous matches in the league phase. Yet, clean sheets have been hard to come by — in fact, they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 home games. Despite that, their attack has been consistent, averaging 1.0 goal scored per match over their last five fixtures across all competitions. The second half has been particularly lively in their games, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 21 of their last 23 matches.
Coach Rafael Benítez will be encouraged by the team’s resilience and attacking intent, but he will also be aware that defensive lapses could prove costly against a Bologna side that rarely fails to find the net. Celta’s supporters will expect another energetic performance at Balaídos, where the team has shown both flair and fighting spirit this season.
Bologna arrive in Spain looking to maintain their unbeaten run in the Europa League group stage, which now stands at four matches. The Italians have shown impressive consistency in Europe, even though they started the campaign with a defeat. Their most recent domestic outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Lazio, a result that extended their solid form in Serie A.
Before that, Bologna’s 12-match unbeaten streak was snapped by a 3-1 home loss to Cremonese, a setback that highlighted some defensive fragility. They have conceded in each of their last four matches, a worrying trend for coach Thiago Motta, who built his side’s early-season success on a disciplined backline. Nevertheless, Bologna’s attack remains potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Their ability to score consistently has kept them competitive even when their defense has faltered.
Historically, Bologna have been difficult to beat before halftime — they have avoided defeat at the break in 18 of their last 20 matches. This resilience could be crucial against a Celta Vigo side that tends to grow stronger as the match progresses. The Italians will be eager to secure a positive result in Spain to strengthen their qualification hopes, especially given their current position just outside the top half of the group standings.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting strengths. Celta Vigo thrive on attacking transitions and home momentum, while Bologna rely on structured build-up play and clinical finishing. Both sides have shown a tendency to concede goals, which could make for an open and entertaining contest.
Given Celta’s attacking rhythm at Balaídos and Bologna’s recent defensive issues, goals at both ends seem likely. The Spanish side will look to exploit Bologna’s high defensive line, while the Italians will depend on their creative midfielders to unlock Celta’s back four. The match could hinge on who controls the tempo in midfield — a battle that might feature Celta’s technical precision against Bologna’s physical intensity.
Historically, both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets in European competition this season. Celta have managed none in their last five Europa League matches, while Bologna have just one. This pattern suggests that both defenses could again be breached, especially considering the attacking form of both sides.
The most likely outcome is BTTS – No with a 52% probability. Both teams have shown attacking potential, but recent data points to a slightly higher chance of one side failing to score in this encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celta de Vigo
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2