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Prediction published on Jan 20, 2026 11:01 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Jan 20, 2026 11:01 PM
The upcoming Europa League clash between Celta de Vigo and LOSC Lille promises to be a decisive encounter in the penultimate round of the league phase. Both teams are level on nine points, with Celta sitting 19th and Lille 20th in the standings. With qualification hopes still alive, this match could determine who takes a crucial step forward in the competition. The Spanish side will enjoy home advantage, while the French visitors arrive looking to bounce back from recent setbacks.
Celta de Vigo approach this fixture in excellent form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions. Their record of three wins and two draws highlights a team that has found balance between attack and defense. In that period, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6. Their most recent outing, a convincing 3-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano on January 18, underlined their growing confidence and attacking sharpness.
At home, Celta have been particularly strong. They have scored in nine of their last ten home matches and have won their last three on home soil. The statistics also show a consistent pattern: Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in each of their last 14 home games, while Under 1.5 goals at half time has occurred in the last 12. This suggests that Celta often start cautiously before finding their rhythm after the break. Their defensive discipline has also improved, with two clean sheets in their last three wins.
With such consistency, Celta de Vigo enter this match as slight favorites, especially given their recent home dominance and attacking momentum.
LOSC Lille have endured a more turbulent run of results. Their last five matches have produced two wins and three defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. The French side’s most recent outing ended in a heavy 3-0 loss to Paris Saint Germain on January 16, exposing defensive vulnerabilities that have persisted in recent weeks. In European competition, Lille have also struggled, losing three of their last four matches, including a 1-0 defeat to Young Boys in the previous round.
One notable trend for Lille is their lack of draws — they have gone 17 consecutive matches without a single draw. This pattern suggests a team that plays with high risk and intensity, often leading to decisive outcomes. Away from home, Lille’s matches tend to open up after the break: Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures, while Under 1.5 goals at half time has occurred in the last 10. This mirrors Celta’s trend of late action, hinting that the second half could be the most eventful period of the match.
Despite their recent struggles, Lille remain a dangerous opponent capable of producing strong attacking moments. However, their defensive instability and poor away form could prove costly against a confident Celta side.
This Europa League encounter brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Celta de Vigo are unbeaten in six matches and have rediscovered their scoring touch, while LOSC Lille are looking to recover from a series of disappointing results. The Spaniards’ home form and attacking consistency make them a tough opponent, especially considering their ability to score multiple goals in front of their fans.
Both teams tend to see more action in the second half, which could lead to an open and entertaining contest after the break. However, Celta’s defensive organization and recent clean sheets give them a slight edge. Lille’s inability to keep opponents at bay, combined with their struggles on the road, may tilt the balance in favor of the hosts.
Historically, this will be the first competitive meeting between the two clubs, adding an extra layer of intrigue. With both sides level on points, the stakes are high, and a win here could be decisive for progression in the Europa League group stage.
Celta de Vigo vs LOSC Lille prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 40% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celta de Vigo
LOSC Lille
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0