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Celta de Vigo
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Osasuna
Prediction published on Feb 4, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Feb 4, 2026 10:01 PM
The upcoming La Liga clash between Celta de Vigo and Osasuna promises to be a balanced and competitive encounter. Both teams are separated by only two places in the standings, with Celta sitting seventh and Osasuna ninth. The Galician side has shown significant improvement in recent months after a poor start to the season, while the visitors from Pamplona have also found consistency, collecting valuable points in their latest outings. With both sides eyeing European qualification spots, this fixture at Balaídos could play a crucial role in shaping their ambitions for the rest of the campaign.
Celta de Vigo come into this match after a goalless draw against Getafe, a result that slightly slowed their momentum following a strong run of performances. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In La Liga overall, their record stands at 8 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
At Balaídos, Celta have been particularly impressive lately, stringing together three consecutive home victories after a difficult start to the season. Their attacking rhythm tends to increase after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 15 home matches. Defensively, they have also shown stability, with under 1.5 goals at half time in their last 16 games across all competitions. This pattern suggests a team that grows stronger as the match progresses, often taking control in the later stages.
Despite a minor dip in their last two outings, Celta’s overall trajectory remains positive. Their home form, combined with their ability to control matches after the interval, makes them a formidable opponent, especially against teams that struggle away from home.
Osasuna arrive in Vigo after a 2-2 draw against Villarreal, a result that extended their solid run of form. In their last five matches, they have achieved two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
One of Osasuna’s key strengths this season has been their resilience in the first half. They have avoided defeat at half time in 27 of their last 30 matches, showing a disciplined and compact approach early in games. However, their away form has been inconsistent, with only one notable win on the road in recent weeks. Despite that, their recent improvement—seven points from the last nine available—suggests that confidence is returning to the squad.
Osasuna’s attacking output has been encouraging, but their defensive lapses away from home remain a concern. If they can maintain their first-half solidity and improve their finishing, they could pose a serious challenge to Celta’s home dominance.
This fixture brings together two sides in good form, both capable of producing entertaining football. Celta de Vigo have been particularly strong at Balaídos, where they have rediscovered their winning touch after a difficult start to the campaign. Their ability to score in the second half and maintain composure under pressure gives them a slight edge. Meanwhile, Osasuna’s resilience and improved attacking performances suggest they will not make it easy for the hosts.
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with goals often shared on both ends. Given the current trends—Celta’s strong home form and Osasuna’s tendency to stay level at half time—this encounter could follow a similar pattern, with the home side gradually asserting control as the game progresses.
Considering the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction leans towards a Celta de Vigo win (1) with a 47% probability. The draw (X) stands at 26%, while an Osasuna win (2) is estimated at 27%. Both teams are expected to find the net, as the BTTS – Yes outcome holds a 54% likelihood, but the home advantage and Celta’s momentum at Balaídos make them the favorites to secure all three points.
Celta de Vigo vs Osasuna prediction by BetMines: Home Win (1) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celta de Vigo
Osasuna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1