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Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 8:34 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 8:34 PM
Celta de Vigo host Racing Santander at Abanca-Balaídos on September 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time. This La Liga fixture gives the home side another opportunity to secure their first league victory of the season after four draws and two defeats from six matches. Celta enter the contest in 16th place, while Racing are 10th after recording two wins, one draw and three losses. Neither team arrives on the back of a positive result: Celta suffered a 1-0 defeat against Omonia Nicosia on September 16, while Racing were beaten 7-2 by FC Barcelona on the same date. The pressure is particularly clear for a Celta side still searching for a winning formula, although Racing must also respond after conceding seven goals in their latest match.
Celta de Vigo have collected three draws and suffered two defeats across their last five matches, scoring an average of only 0.4 goals per game while conceding 1.0. Their full La Liga record stands at no wins, four draws and two losses, with averages of 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those figures underline the main issue facing the hosts: they have generally limited the damage at the other end, but their attacking output has not yet been enough to turn balanced games into victories.
The 1-0 loss to Omonia Nicosia extended Celta’s wait for a win beyond domestic competition. Confidence in Giráldez’s work remains strong according to the available match context, but the absence of a victory increases the importance of this home fixture. Racing’s recent defensive numbers could provide Celta with an opening, yet the hosts must improve on a league scoring average of one goal every two games if they are to take advantage.
Celta’s matches also carry a notable first-half pattern. At least one of the two teams failed to score before the interval in 37 of their last 40 matches. That suggests their games have regularly featured a goalless first half for one side, although it does not mean the opening period itself always ended without a goal. Another statistic shows that two of Celta’s last 10 La Liga matches finished with under 0.5 total goals, meaning eight of those fixtures produced at least one goal.
Racing Santander travel to Vigo after a difficult 7-2 defeat against FC Barcelona. Racing were unable to contain their opponent’s attacking production, and that result contributed to their recent average of 2.8 goals conceded per match across the last five games. Over the same sequence, they recorded two wins and three defeats, with no draws, while still averaging an encouraging 1.8 goals scored.
The visitors’ La Liga figures follow a similar pattern. Racing have two victories, one draw and three defeats, scoring 1.8 goals per game but conceding 2.7. Their attacking average is considerably higher than Celta’s, but their defensive record has left them vulnerable. At least one goal has been conceded by Racing in 20 of their last 21 matches, so another demanding defensive assignment awaits at Abanca-Balaídos.
There is also a strong tendency for Racing’s matches to produce action after the break. More than 0.5 total second-half goals were recorded in 19 of their last 21 games. Combined with their recent scoring and conceding averages, this indicates that the contest may become more open as it progresses. Racing have shown they can contribute goals, but their challenge will be to maintain that attacking threat without allowing Celta to exploit the defensive weaknesses highlighted by the available statistics.
The statistical picture presents a contrast between Celta de Vigo’s low attacking output and Racing Santander’s high-event matches. Celta average only 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in La Liga, whereas Racing average 1.8 scored and 2.7 allowed. The hosts have therefore been involved in tighter contests, while the visitors’ games have generated substantially more goals at both ends.
Recent meetings offer further context. The latest head-to-head finished 2-3 on January 5, 2025, producing five goals. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Celta have two wins, two draws and one defeat against Racing, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The article context also states that each of the last three encounters produced goals for both teams. That sequence supports the possibility of another match in which neither defence keeps a clean sheet.
The broader numbers point in the same direction. Two of Celta’s three league home matches produced goals for both sides, while Racing’s last four games also saw both teams find the net. Racing’s record of conceding in 20 of 21 matches provides Celta with a realistic route to goal despite the hosts’ modest attacking average. At the other end, Racing’s average of 1.8 goals per league game suggests they can test a Celta team that has conceded an average of one goal per match.
The win probabilities give Celta de Vigo a 44% chance, compared with 24% for the draw and 31% for a Racing Santander victory. Home advantage and Racing’s defensive record help explain Celta’s position as the most likely individual winner, but their winless league start makes the result market less decisive. The goal markets provide a clearer conclusion: both teams to score is rated at 58%, while over 2.5 goals stands at 56%. With Racing regularly scoring and conceding, Celta looking to end their winless run, and the recent head-to-head pattern featuring goals at both ends, chances for each side appear to be the most coherent expectation.
Celta de Vigo vs Racing Santander prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celta de Vigo
Racing Santander
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
8
2
2
8
3.5
9
1
5
5
4.5
9
1
6
4