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Prediction published on Oct 18, 2025 2:04 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Oct 18, 2025 2:33 PM
The Abanca Balaídos Stadium will host a crucial clash between Celta de Vigo and Real Sociedad in Matchday 9 of LaLiga EA Sports. Both sides arrive under pressure, sitting in the lower half of the table and in desperate need of a win to revive their campaigns. Historically, this fixture has leaned slightly in favor of the Basque side, but current form suggests a much more balanced contest.
Celta de Vigo come into this encounter after a 1-1 draw against Atlético Madrid on October 5, a match in which the Galicians were arguably the better team but failed to convert their chances. Under Claudio Giráldez, the team has shown flashes of quality but continues to struggle with consistency and finishing in front of goal. Their current record in LaLiga stands at 0 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, placing them 16th with 6 points.
Despite their low position, Celta’s attacking numbers are not entirely discouraging. They average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, and have found the net in 31 of their last 33 games in all competitions. However, defensive lapses have cost them dearly, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 matches. At home, Balaídos has seen plenty of action: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 home fixtures, while Under 3.5 goals has been a consistent trend in their recent league outings.
Players like Iago Aspas, Borja Iglesias, and Ferran Jutglà will be key in breaking their winless streak. The trio’s creativity and experience could make the difference, especially with the home crowd pushing them forward. Celta’s main challenge remains turning dominance into goals, something they have failed to do despite creating numerous chances in recent matches.
Real Sociedad arrive in Vigo after a disappointing 0-1 home defeat to Rayo Vallecano, a result that extended their poor run of form. The Basques have collected just one win, two draws, and five losses so far, sitting 19th in the standings with 5 points. Their attack has been underwhelming, averaging 0.9 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.5 goals on average.
Defensively, Sergio Francisco’s men have struggled to maintain clean sheets, conceding in each of their last 15 away matches in LaLiga. They have also allowed goals in their last 18 away fixtures across all competitions. On the attacking side, however, they have managed to score in 39 of their last 40 matches, showing that they are rarely completely shut out. The team’s offensive hopes rest on the shoulders of Mikel Oyarzabal and Take Kubo, supported by Carlos Soler and Gonçalo Guedes, who will look to exploit Celta’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Real Sociedad’s away form has been particularly concerning, with four defeats in their last five outings. The lack of confidence in front of goal and defensive instability have combined to make this one of their toughest starts to a season in recent years. A positive result in Vigo could be the spark they need to turn things around.
Both teams enter this match in urgent need of points, and that desperation could lead to an open, competitive encounter. Celta de Vigo will rely on their home advantage and attacking trio to press high and control possession, while Real Sociedad are expected to adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on counterattacks through Kubo and Oyarzabal.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides is balanced: two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favor of Real Sociedad on May 13, 2025. However, given the current form and momentum, Celta appear slightly better positioned to take the initiative this time around. Their ability to create chances and the energy from the Balaídos crowd could prove decisive.
Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, which suggests that goals are likely at both ends. Celta’s consistent record of conceding and scoring, combined with Real Sociedad’s inability to keep clean sheets away from home, points toward a lively contest. Still, neither side has been prolific enough to expect a high-scoring affair, making a narrow result the most probable outcome.
The most likely outcome is a Celta de Vigo win (1) with a 51% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while a Real Sociedad win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celta de Vigo
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3