Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga

The 25th matchday of La Liga kicks off at the Estadio de Balaidos, where Celta Vigo hosts Osasuna in a highly anticipated clash. Separated by just three points in the standings, both teams come into this match after securing 1-1 draws in their previous fixtures—Celta Vigo against Atletico Madrid and Osasuna against Real Madrid. These results indirectly helped Barcelona reclaim the top spot in the league. Currently sitting 14th in La Liga with 29 points, Celta Vigo, led by Claudio Giraldez, has a chance to climb up the table with a victory and level with Osasuna, who hold 9th place with 32 points. On the other hand, a win for Vicente Moreno's Osasuna could push them closer to the sixth spot, which grants a UEFA Conference League qualification. This Friday, February 21, clash presents several intriguing storylines, including a striker showdown between Iago Aspas, who recently returned from injury to score against Atletico Madrid, and Ante Budimir, Osasuna’s top scorer with 16 goals this season.

Celta Vigo's Shape & Key Statistics

Celta Vigo has built its La Liga campaign largely on home performances. Giraldez’s side has won three of its last four home matches, accumulating 23 out of their total 29 points at Estadio de Balaidos.

Despite their position in the lower half of the table, Celta Vigo's attack has been impressive, scoring 35 goals (1.46 per match)—just two fewer than Athletic Bilbao, a team fighting for a Champions League spot. However, their defensive struggles are evident, conceding 38 goals, making them the third-worst defense in La Liga.

Osasuna's Shape & Key Statistics

Osasuna comes into this match after a 1-1 draw against Real Madrid, marking their 11th draw of the season—the most in La Liga. This tendency to draw matches is reflected in their recent form, winning just one of their last five games, with four ending in stalemates.

Their away record is concerning, with only one win, six draws, and four losses in league play. Moreover, Osasuna has managed to score just 0.6 goals per away match, ranking as the second-worst away attack in La Liga. For this match, coach Vicente Moreno will be without two key players due to suspension: defender Arezo and midfielder Oroz.

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Prediction & Tactical Overview

Celta Vigo has the fifth-best home record in La Liga (7 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), ranking just behind the league’s top four teams. Meanwhile, Osasuna’s poor away form makes them vulnerable, with just one win on the road this season.

A victory for Celta Vigo would provide a crucial boost in their fight to avoid relegation and even keep their hopes of European qualification alive. The return of Iago Aspas, the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, further strengthens their case for a strong second half of the season.

Based on data from the BetMines algorithm, here’s the predicted outcome for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna. 

• BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Celta Vigo vs Osasuna predicts the 1 at 46%
• BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Celta Vigo vs Osasuna predicts the X at 27%
• BetMines algorithm prediction for the match Celta Vigo vs Osasuna predicts the 2 at 27%

Probable Lineups Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Celta Vigo (3-4-3): Guaita; Starfelt, Dominguez Caceres, Alonso; Rodriguez Galliano, Beltran, Sotelo, Carreira; Lopez Gonzalez, Duran, Swedberg. Coach: Giraldez

Osasuna (4-3-3): Herrera; Ruben Pena, Catena, Herrando, Cruz; Moncayola, Torro, Munoz; Garcia, Budimir, Zaragoza. Coach: Moreno