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Prediction published on Apr 21, 2025 1:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 21, 2025 1:59 PM
At the Estadio de Balaídos, Celta Vigo under Giráldez takes on Villarreal led by Marcelino in one of the most anticipated clashes of Matchday 33 in La Liga, with crucial points up for grabs in the race for European qualification. The home side, in their most recent league outing, gave table-toppers Barcelona a real scare, only losing 4-3 deep into injury time thanks to a penalty scored by Raphinha. Despite that setback, they remain firmly in the hunt for a spot in next season’s UEFA Europa League or UEFA Europa Conference League, currently sitting eighth, just one point behind seventh place. To return to European competition, Celta will need to rediscover the form they showed between February and March, when they went unbeaten in eight consecutive La Liga matches. Villarreal, meanwhile, are on the verge of a return to the most prestigious European tournament— the UEFA Champions League. They currently sit fifth in the table, a position that, due to the new UEFA coefficient system, could earn them a place in next season’s competition. Marcelino’s side are aiming to extend their current run of four unbeaten matches, increasing their lead over direct rivals. Moreover, Villarreal have one game in hand over their competitors, which they will play at home against Espanyol on Sunday, April 27.
Celta Vigo’s last 5 La Liga matches have yielded 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. In their most recent match, they fell 4-3 to Barcelona, despite initially taking a 1-3 lead thanks to a hat-trick from Borja Iglesias, who now has 8 goals in the league.
After 31 games played, Los Celestes have collected 43 points from 12 wins, 13 losses, and 7 draws. Defensively, they are struggling— their 49 goals conceded make them the third-worst defense in La Liga, with an average of 1.53 goals conceded per match. At home, however, they’ve been solid: only 2 losses in their last 10 games, with 6 wins and 2 draws.
Villarreal are enjoying a strong run of form, going unbeaten in their last 4 La Liga matches (2 wins and 2 draws). Their last outing was a 2-2 draw against Real Sociedad in a match marred by controversial refereeing decisions. The Yellow Submarine had two goals disallowed under questionable circumstances and were denied a clear penalty in the first half.
With that point, Villarreal moved up to 52 points, holding on to fifth place and sitting four points ahead of Real Betis. One of Villarreal’s biggest strengths is their attacking power— they currently boast the third-best attack in La Liga with 55 goals scored (1.77 per game). On the road, they are coming off back-to-back wins against Getafe and Real Betis.
Recent meetings between Celta Vigo and Villarreal have consistently delivered high-scoring, closely contested encounters. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended 4-3 in favor of the Yellow Submarine, with Parejo scoring the winner in stoppage time.
One key stat is that both teams have scored in each of their last 5 head-to-head matches (3 Villarreal wins, 1 for Celta, and 1 draw). Celta’s attack is enjoying a positive streak, having scored in 17 straight matches, while Villarreal’s front line ranks among the best in La Liga.
For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Celta Vigo vs Villarreal is that both teams will score at least one goal.
Celta Vigo (3-4-2-1): Guaita; Rodriguez, Lago, Alonso; Carreira, Beltran, Moriba, Mingueza; Swedberg, Gonzalez; Iglesias. Manager: Giráldez.
Villarreal (4-4-2): Junior Reis; Kiko Femenia, Foyth, Costa, Pedraza; Pino, Parejo, Comesaña, Baena; Perez, Barry. Manager: Marcelino.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celta de Vigo
Villarreal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2