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Prediction published on Sep 15, 2026 7:33 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 15, 2026 7:33 PM
Celtic begin their UEFA Europa League league-phase campaign against Ferencvárosi at Celtic Park on Thursday, September 17, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. The hosts enter this opening European fixture looking to respond to a 3-0 defeat against Rangers on September 13, while the visitors travel to Glasgow after an emphatic 7-0 victory over DEAC one day earlier. Celtic are ranked 18th in the Europa League and Ferencvárosi 21st, making a positive start especially valuable for both clubs. Home advantage and an eight-match winning sequence at Celtic Park strengthen the Scottish side’s case, but Ferencvárosi arrive unbeaten in their last five matches and have already recorded six wins and two draws in this season’s Europa League. With both teams carrying impressive attacking statistics, this contest has the ingredients for an open and competitive European encounter.
Celtic saw a four-game winning run ended by their 3-0 loss to Rangers. Despite that setback, their recent record remains encouraging, with four victories and one defeat across the last five matches. During that sequence, Celtic averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The immediate objective will be to recover quickly and avoid beginning their Europa League league-phase schedule with a home defeat.
The strongest argument in Celtic’s favour is their excellent home form. They have won their last eight home matches, while also scoring at least once in each of their previous 19 fixtures at Celtic Park. Their matches have consistently produced scoring action in Europe: more than 1.5 total goals were recorded in each of Celtic’s last 14 home Europa League games and in 25 of their previous 26 matches in the competition overall.
Early goals have also been a recurring feature. At least one first-half goal was scored in 24 of Celtic’s last 26 Europa League fixtures, and the hosts have been ahead at half-time in each of their last three home matches. Celtic have avoided a half-time defeat in 21 of their previous 23 games, while 19 of their last 21 fixtures produced at least one goal after the interval. Another notable trend is the absence of stalemates, as Celtic have not drawn any of their last 16 matches.
Benjamin Nygren has contributed five goals and six assists across all competitions this season, making him an important attacking figure for the hosts. Camilo Duran has scored six times. Celtic will, however, be without Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain because of a European suspension, while Alistair Johnston, Jota and Callum Osmand are also confirmed absentees.
Ferencvárosi arrive with confidence after defeating DEAC 7-0 on September 12. Their last five games have delivered four wins and one draw, with an impressive average of 3.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match. They have also won six of their last seven fixtures, drawing the other one, and have collected five consecutive away victories.
The visitors have already built considerable European momentum after negotiating four qualifying rounds. Their Europa League record this season stands at six wins, two draws and no defeats, accompanied by averages of 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Across all competitions, Ferencvárosi have avoided defeat in 19 of their previous 20 matches, underlining the scale of the challenge facing Celtic.
Ferencvárosi have also shown consistency before the interval. They have been ahead at half-time in their last three games and have not trailed at the break in 21 of their previous 22 matches. Away from home, they have avoided a half-time deficit in 18 of their last 20 outings. Those numbers suggest that the visitors are capable of making a composed start even against Celtic’s strong home record.
Lenny Joseph has scored four goals in all competitions, while Kristoffer Zachariassen has registered five goals and two assists. Zachariassen also scored Ferencvárosi’s only goal in their most recent away victory in this competition. The visitors have no major injury concerns reported ahead of the trip, giving them a broad selection of available options.
The contrasting circumstances create an intriguing Europa League preview. Celtic must react to a clear defeat, yet their eight straight home victories and 19 consecutive home matches with a goal provide substantial reasons for confidence. Ferencvárosi, meanwhile, combine strong domestic momentum with an unbeaten eight-game Europa League campaign, so their challenge cannot be judged only by Celtic’s status as the home side.
The head-to-head record slightly favours Celtic, who have won two of the three previous meetings and lost one. They averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across those encounters. The latest meeting ended 3-2 on November 4, 2021, another result that fits the broader expectation of attacking opportunities when these teams meet.
Goals are the clearest statistical theme surrounding this fixture. Eight of Celtic’s last nine home matches produced at least three total goals, while their long sequence of Europa League games featuring more than 1.5 goals adds further support to an open contest. Ferencvárosi’s average of 3.6 goals scored over their last five matches is equally difficult to overlook, especially after their seven-goal performance against DEAC.
Celtic carry a 56% win probability, compared with 22% for the draw and 22% for a Ferencvárosi victory. Even so, the visitors’ six wins and two draws in Europe this season indicate that the hosts are unlikely to have an easy evening. The half-time data is particularly striking: Celtic’s Europa League fixtures regularly feature a goal before the break, while both sides have won the first half in each of their last three relevant matches. A competitive start followed by further second-half opportunities appears consistent with the available trends.
Celtic vs Ferencvárosi prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celtic
Ferencvárosi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1