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Celtic vs Hearts Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premiership 16-05-2026

Celtic

3 - 1

FT

Hearts

Celtic Park
Don Robertson
light rain 12.94 °C

Prediction published on May 14, 2026 12:02 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on May 14, 2026 12:02 PM

The Scottish Premiership title race reaches its thrilling conclusion as Celtic host Hearts in what could be a historic showdown. For the first time in decades, a club outside the traditional duopoly has the chance to lift the trophy. With just one point separating the two sides, the equation is simple: Celtic must win to retain their crown, while Hearts only need to avoid defeat to end the dominance of the Old Firm. The atmosphere promises to be electric as both teams enter this decisive clash in excellent form and with everything on the line.


Celtic’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Celtic approach this final match full of momentum after a dramatic 3-2 victory away at Motherwell, secured by a late penalty. That result extended their unbeaten run to seven matches across all competitions, including four wins and one draw in their last five outings. Their attacking rhythm has been impressive, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.4 during that stretch. Over the course of the Premiership season, they have recorded 24 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.


At home, Celtic Park has been a fortress. The team has scored in each of their last 14 home fixtures, and in 24 of their last 25 Premiership matches overall. They have also been quick starters, with over 0.5 goals scored before half-time in 33 of their last 36 league games. In addition, Celtic have led at half-time in 7 of their last 10 home matches, showing their ability to impose dominance early. However, defensive lapses have been noticeable, as they have conceded in each of their last five games, a factor that could make this title decider even more unpredictable.


Despite their strong form, Celtic have struggled against Hearts this season. In three previous meetings, they have failed to secure a win, drawing once and losing twice. That record adds extra pressure on the reigning champions, who know that only a victory will suffice to keep their title hopes alive.


Hearts’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Hearts have been the revelation of the season, defying expectations to sit top of the Premiership table heading into the final day. Their 3-0 win over Falkirk in midweek kept them one point clear of Celtic and extended their unbeaten streak to seven matches. Over their last five games, they have recorded four wins and one draw, averaging 2.2 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match. Their season-long record of 23 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats highlights their consistency and resilience.


While Hearts have been formidable at home, their away form has been more mixed. They have won only one of their last six away fixtures, with three defeats in that period. Nonetheless, they have found the net regularly on the road, with both teams scoring in four of their last five away matches. That attacking reliability has been key to their title push, and they will need it again at Celtic Park, where they have not lost this season. Their head-to-head record against Celtic this campaign — two wins and one draw — gives them confidence that they can finish the job.


Hearts’ defensive organization and clinical finishing have been their trademarks. They have conceded fewer than one goal per game on average this season, and their ability to absorb pressure before striking on the counter could be decisive in this high-stakes encounter. With the title within touching distance, the visitors will be determined to make history, even if a draw would be enough to crown them champions.


Celtic vs Hearts Tactical Overview and Prediction


This match has all the ingredients of a classic Premiership decider — tension, history, and two teams in top form. Celtic will look to dominate possession and attack relentlessly, especially given their prolific home scoring record. Their challenge will be to maintain defensive discipline against a Hearts side that thrives on quick transitions and has already proven capable of punishing them this season.


Given the attacking trends of both sides, goals seem likely. Celtic have scored in 25 of their last 27 league matches, while Hearts have found the net in most of their recent away games. Four of the last five meetings between these clubs have seen both teams score, and with the title at stake, neither side is expected to sit back. The emotional intensity of the occasion, combined with the offensive quality on display, points toward another open and entertaining contest.


Ultimately, Celtic’s home advantage and attacking momentum could make them slight favorites, but Hearts’ resilience and superior head-to-head record cannot be ignored. A draw would be enough for the visitors, but given both teams’ scoring patterns, the most logical outcome appears to be a match where both sides find the net.


Celtic vs Hearts prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 63% probability.

Celtic vs Hearts - Predictions

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Celtic vs Hearts: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Celtic

Hearts

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

40%

4

60%

6

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Celtic and Hearts in Premiership

2nd Phase - Championship Group - Ranking

Team

1

Celtic

38

26

4

8

73:41

82

2.16

W
W
W
W
W
2

Hearts

38

24

8

6

67:34

80

2.11

W
W
D
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

Who will win ?

Celtic vs Hearts: Frequently asked questions

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When will Celtic vs Hearts be played?
The Premiership match between Celtic and Hearts will be played on May 16, 2026 at 11:30.
Where will Celtic vs Hearts be played?
The match between Celtic and Hearts will be played at Celtic Park, Glasgow - Scotland
Who will referee Celtic vs Hearts?
The referee for the match will be Don Robertson.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Celtic vs Hearts in the Premiership?
The odds are: Celtic to win 1.61, draw 4.10, Hearts to win 4.75.
What are the betting odds for Celtic vs Hearts for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premiership?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.50.
Will both Celtic and Hearts score in the Premiership?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.57, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.25.
What is the most likely correct score for Celtic vs Hearts in the Premiership?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Celtic and Hearts?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Celtic and Hearts, Celtic won 2 times, Hearts won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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