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Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 3:02 PM
The Scottish Premiership continues with a fascinating clash as Celtic host Motherwell in Matchday 30. The defending champions are chasing the top spot and cannot afford to drop points, while the visitors are pushing for a European qualification place. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 2-0 win for Motherwell, adding extra intrigue to this encounter. With both sides in strong form, this promises to be a tense and tactical battle in Glasgow.
Celtic come into this fixture after a goalless draw against Rangers on March 8, a result that kept them second in the Premiership standings. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 18 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
The Bhoys have been particularly strong in the first half of games. They have won at half time in 8 of their last 10 home matches and in 13 of their last 21 league fixtures overall. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in each of their last 11 home matches, showing their tendency to start aggressively. At least one goal has been scored by Celtic in 20 of their last 21 Premiership games, underlining their attacking consistency.
Despite their attacking prowess, Celtic’s home form has been mixed recently, with two defeats in their last few outings at home. However, they remain a dominant force at Celtic Park, where they have scored in nearly every match this season. Their ability to create chances and maintain pressure in the final third will be crucial against one of the league’s best defensive sides.
Motherwell travel to Glasgow after a narrow 2-1 defeat to Dundee on March 7, which was only their fourth loss of the season. They remain fourth in the Premiership table, with a record of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 4 defeats. Their average of 1.7 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match highlights their balance between attack and defense.
In their last five matches, Motherwell have secured three wins and suffered two defeats, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding only 0.8. Their defensive organization has been a key factor in their success, with at least one team failing to score at half time in each of their last 25 matches. This trend suggests that their games often start cautiously before opening up in the second half.
On the road, Motherwell’s form has been less convincing, with only two wins in their last seven away fixtures. However, they have shown resilience, avoiding defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 league matches. Their ability to stay compact and frustrate opponents could once again be their main weapon against Celtic’s attacking pressure.
The recent head-to-head record favors Celtic, who have won four of the last five meetings against Motherwell, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and conceding just 1.0. The most recent encounter, on December 30, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for Celtic. However, Motherwell’s earlier 2-0 win this season showed that they are capable of upsetting the champions when given space to counterattack.
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Celtic’s last 11 home games and in Motherwell’s last 10 league fixtures. This suggests that the match could see multiple goals, even if both sides are defensively disciplined. Celtic’s attacking rhythm and Motherwell’s structured defense could produce a tight but entertaining contest.
Given Celtic’s dominance in possession and Motherwell’s compact defensive shape, the first half could be decisive. The hosts often start fast, while the visitors tend to grow into games. If Celtic can break through early, they may control proceedings; otherwise, Motherwell’s counterattacks could pose a real threat.
Statistically, Celtic hold the upper hand with a 54% win probability, compared to 23% for both a draw and a Motherwell victory. Both Teams To Score is rated at 56%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 56% likelihood. These figures align with the attacking trends of both sides, though Motherwell’s defensive record suggests the game might not turn into a goal fest.
Considering Celtic’s strong home scoring record and Motherwell’s disciplined defense, a balanced match with limited goal margins seems likely. The Bhoys will look to avenge their earlier defeat, but The Well’s resilience could keep the scoreline tight. Expect a competitive encounter with moments of quality from both sides.
Celtic vs Motherwell prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celtic
Motherwell
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2