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Prediction published on Dec 9, 2025 10:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Dec 9, 2025 10:03 PM
The UEFA Europa League continues this Thursday with a fascinating clash at Celtic Park as Celtic FC host AS Roma in matchday six of the league phase. Both clubs are fighting to secure a place in the knockout rounds, and with only three games left in this stage, every point is crucial. This will be the first-ever competitive meeting between these two historic sides, adding an extra layer of intrigue to an already high-stakes encounter. Celtic, under new management, will look to bounce back from a disappointing domestic defeat, while Roma aim to halt their recent slump and reaffirm their European credentials.
Celtic enter this fixture sitting 21st in the Europa League standings, two points behind their Italian visitors. Their European campaign has been inconsistent so far, with two wins and two losses leaving them in a precarious position in the race for qualification. The Scottish champions have collected seven points and remain just one point above the teams outside the knockout zone.
In their last Europa League outing, the Hoops produced an impressive 3-1 away win over Feyenoord, a result that briefly lifted spirits under interim boss Martin O’Neill. However, the managerial change that followed has yet to yield results. New head coach Wilfried Nancy began his tenure with a 2-1 home defeat to Hearts, ending a five-match winning streak across all competitions. That loss highlighted the transitional phase Celtic are currently navigating, as Nancy looks to implement his tactical ideas.
Statistically, Celtic’s matches in Europe have been entertaining. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 21 Europa League games, and the same trend applies to their last 11 home fixtures in the competition. They also tend to start strongly, with over 0.5 goals at half time in 19 of their last 21 continental matches. However, their record against Italian opposition remains poor, with four defeats in their last five encounters.
In terms of personnel, Reo Hatate and Benjamin Nygren have been Celtic’s standout performers in Europe, each scoring twice. The team will rely heavily on their creativity and finishing to trouble Roma’s defense. Injury-wise, the Hoops are still without Marcelo Saracchi due to a hamstring problem, while Cameron Carter-Vickers and Alistair Johnston remain long-term absentees. Daizen Maeda, who has scored four of his six goals this season as the team’s opener, will be another key figure in attack.
Roma travel to Glasgow in 15th place in the Europa League standings, holding a two-point advantage over Celtic. Despite a strong start to the season, Gian Piero Gasperini’s side have recently suffered a dip in form, losing back-to-back Serie A matches. Their most recent setback came in a 1-0 defeat to Cagliari, marking their second consecutive game without scoring. This downturn has seen them slip four points behind in the Italian title race.
Before this rough patch, Roma had lost only once in seven matches and were enjoying a four-game winning streak. In Europe, they have been efficient, winning three of their four matches and collecting nine points—a tally shared with five other teams. Notably, two of those victories came away from home, including a win against Celtic’s fierce rivals, Rangers. Their most recent Europa League success was a 2-1 victory over FC Midtjylland.
Roma’s matches tend to be tight affairs, with under 3.5 goals scored in 19 of their last 20 games. They rarely draw—none of their last 25 matches have ended level—and they often control the first half, having led at the break in six of their last ten away fixtures. In the Europa League, at least one team has failed to score in 37 of their last 40 games, underlining their defensive discipline.
Injury concerns persist for the Italians. Striker Artem Dovbyk, who netted 17 goals last season, remains sidelined with a thigh injury, while Brazilian winger Wesley is doubtful. On the positive side, Paulo Dybala, Stephan El Shaarawy, Evan Ferguson, and Matias Soule are all fit and available, providing Gasperini with plenty of attacking options.
This encounter promises to be a compelling battle between two clubs eager to rediscover their rhythm. Celtic will look to capitalize on the energy of their home crowd at Celtic Park, where they have historically been difficult to beat. However, their defensive vulnerabilities and the adjustment period under a new manager could prove costly against a technically superior Roma side.
Roma, despite their recent setbacks, possess the quality and experience to manage high-pressure European nights. Their organized defense and quick transitions could exploit Celtic’s tendency to push forward aggressively. The Italians have also shown resilience in bouncing back from poor runs, having avoided three consecutive defeats all season. With both teams struggling for consistency but capable of scoring, this fixture could deliver an open and entertaining contest.
Ultimately, the match may hinge on whether Celtic can contain Roma’s creative players like Dybala and El Shaarawy, while the visitors must guard against the pace and pressing of Maeda and Hatate. A balanced yet intense duel is expected in Glasgow, with both sides aware that a win could significantly boost their qualification hopes.
Celtic vs Roma prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Celtic win (1) with a 52% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Roma win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celtic
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
2
8
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3