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Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 3:08 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 3:08 PM
The Scottish Premiership title race is heating up as Celtic prepare to host St. Mirren in Matchday 33. With only three points separating the top three sides, every fixture now carries enormous weight. The reigning champions sit third in the table and cannot afford any more slip-ups if they wish to keep their title defence alive. Meanwhile, St. Mirren arrive with renewed confidence after back-to-back victories, hoping to once again frustrate The Bhoys as they did earlier in the season.
Celtic come into this clash following a narrow 2-1 win over Dundee, a result that helped them recover from a previous defeat to Dundee United. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their overall Premiership record stands at 20 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
At home, Celtic have been particularly consistent in attack. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 12 home league games, and every one of those fixtures has seen over 1.5 total goals. The first halves at Celtic Park have also been lively, with over 0.5 goals scored before the break in 19 of their last 20 Premiership matches. This attacking rhythm often allows them to take control early, as they have led at half time in 8 of their last 11 home league games.
These numbers underline Celtic’s attacking reliability, but also highlight the pressure they face to maintain momentum. Any dropped points could prove fatal in their pursuit of the top spot.
St. Mirren approach this encounter in solid form after a 2-0 victory over Aberdeen. They have won three of their last five matches, losing two, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Despite their mid-table position, The Saints have shown resilience, particularly in recent weeks. However, their defensive record away from home remains a concern. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 20 away matches, and every one of their last 19 away fixtures has produced over 1.5 total goals. This trend suggests that while they can compete, keeping a clean sheet on the road has been a major challenge.
St. Mirren’s attacking improvement has been noticeable, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed by a Celtic side that thrives at home. Still, their recent momentum and their earlier League Cup win over Celtic this season may give them belief that another upset is possible.
The previous meetings between these two sides have been competitive. Celtic have won three of the last five head-to-head encounters, with one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent clash ended 3-1 in favor of Celtic, but St. Mirren’s earlier 3-1 cup victory remains fresh in memory.
Given the statistical trends, this fixture is likely to feature goals, but not necessarily a high-scoring affair. Celtic’s home matches consistently produce over 1.5 goals, while St. Mirren’s away fixtures follow a similar pattern. However, both teams have shown defensive discipline in recent weeks, suggesting that the total number of goals might stay below the higher thresholds.
With Celtic’s attacking consistency and St. Mirren’s tendency to concede on the road, the home side are expected to dominate possession and create more chances. Yet, St. Mirren’s counter-attacking potential could make them dangerous if Celtic leave space at the back. The balance between Celtic’s need for victory and St. Mirren’s defensive caution could lead to a controlled but tense contest.
Celtic vs St. Mirren prediction from BetMines: Under 3.5 goals. The data suggests a match with limited scoring opportunities, as both teams combine solid defensive numbers with moderate attacking output. While Celtic remain favorites to win, the probability of fewer than four total goals appears the most reliable outcome for this Premiership clash.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celtic
St. Mirren
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
7
3
3.5
4
6
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0