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Prediction published on Oct 27, 2025 3:31 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 27, 2025 4:14 PM
The tenth round of Serie B brings an exciting top-of-the-table clash between Cesena and Carrarese, scheduled for Tuesday, October 28, at 20:30. The midweek fixture promises to be one of the highlights of the round, as two of the most in-form sides in the division face off at the Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Cesena, who impressed last season as a newly promoted team, continue to build on that momentum and currently sit in third place with 17 points, level with Monza and just behind league leaders Modena. The hosts are determined to close the four-point gap at the top and maintain their strong start to the campaign.
Cesena come into this match after a narrow but important 1-0 away win over Südtirol on October 25, a result that extended their winning streak to two games following a brief dip in form earlier in the month. Over their last five matches, the Romagnoli have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall season record in Serie B stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
At home, Cesena have been particularly solid defensively. In their last 17 home matches, all have featured under 3.5 total goals, a trend that continues across their last 16 home Serie B fixtures. This suggests that while Cesena are capable of scoring, they tend to keep games tight and controlled at the Manuzzi. The team’s balance between attack and defense has been key to their rise up the table, and coach Toscano will be eager to see his side maintain that discipline against a dangerous opponent.
Carrarese travel to Cesena in excellent form, having gone five matches unbeaten in Serie B. Their latest result was a thrilling 3-2 victory over Venezia on October 25, a match that showcased their attacking flair and resilience. Over their last five games, the Tuscan side have collected two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Their overall season record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat, placing them sixth in the standings with 14 points.
One of Carrarese’s most impressive traits this season has been their consistency and ability to stay competitive in every match. They have avoided trailing at half-time in 21 of their last 23 Serie B games, a testament to their tactical organization and mental strength. While their defense can occasionally be exposed, their attacking unit has been among the most productive in the league. Matches involving Carrarese rarely end goalless, as shown by the fact that only two of their last ten Serie B fixtures have featured under 0.5 total goals.
This encounter pits two of Serie B’s most entertaining sides against each other. Both Cesena and Carrarese have developed strong attacking identities, and their recent results reflect that. Cesena’s home advantage and defensive structure make them slight favorites, but Carrarese’s unbeaten run and offensive momentum suggest that the visitors are more than capable of causing problems. Historically, the head-to-head record between these two sides is balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. The most recent clash ended 2-0 in favor of Cesena in December 2024.
Given their current form, this match could be decided by fine margins. Cesena’s ability to control possession and limit space in defense will be tested by Carrarese’s dynamic forward line, which has been scoring freely in recent weeks. Both teams average more than a goal per game, and with the first and second-best attacks in the division facing off, fans can expect a lively contest. However, Cesena’s home defensive record and Carrarese’s tendency to draw suggest that a cautious start could give way to a more open second half.
Ultimately, this fixture has all the ingredients for a balanced and competitive encounter. Cesena will look to capitalize on their home form to stay close to Modena at the top, while Carrarese aim to extend their unbeaten streak and close the gap on the promotion places. The tactical battle between two attack-minded managers should make for an engaging spectacle under the lights at the Manuzzi.
The statistical outlook points toward a tight match with limited scoring opportunities. The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% probability. Cesena’s home matches have consistently produced low goal totals, and Carrarese’s recent defensive solidity supports this trend. While both sides possess attacking quality, their balanced approaches may keep the scoreline modest.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cesena
Carrarese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1