Cesena welcome Cremonese to the Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi on September 12, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time. The hosts enter this Serie B fixture unbeaten after three league matches, while the visitors arrive encouraged by a convincing victory in their first game under Pecchia. Cesena have collected one win and two draws in the competition, compared with Cremonese’s record of one victory and two defeats. The home side are ninth in Serie B and their opponents are 13th, although the early-season figures underline how little separates the teams. Cesena will try to extend their positive league run, but Cremonese’s response against Calcio Padova means this promises to be a demanding test.

Cesena Recent Form and Key Statistics

Cesena have made an encouraging start to their Serie B campaign under Diamanti, who is taking charge of a team in this division for the first time. They opened with an away victory over Entella before recording draws against Mantova and Sampdoria. The point against Sampdoria was particularly notable because Cesena played with ten men for more than half an hour.

Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Mantova on September 6. Mantova were described as a team in good form, so Cesena’s ability to avoid defeat maintained their unbeaten league record. Their Serie B totals now stand at one win, two draws and no defeats, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.

Across Cesena’s last five matches in all competitions, the record is less dominant but still competitive: one victory, three draws and one defeat. During that sequence, they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Those figures point to a side whose recent games have often remained closely balanced rather than being decided by wide margins.

Only three of Cesena’s last 13 Serie B matches ended without a goal, while the same occurred in three of their last 14 fixtures across the broader sample. Their immediate objective is to remain unbeaten in the league and support their stated ambition of challenging for the playoff area. Playing at home gives them an opportunity to build on a solid opening, although their recent scoring average suggests that patience may be required.

Cremonese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Cremonese began the league season with defeats against Empoli and Modena, results that were followed by a change on the bench. Giampaolo was dismissed despite a Coppa Italia victory over Parma, and Pecchia returned for a second spell in charge of the club. His opening match produced an immediate reaction as Cremonese defeated Calcio Padova 3-1 on September 6.

That result gave the visitors their first Serie B victory of the season and improved the mood around a team targeting an immediate return to Serie A. However, Pecchia has had only a short period in which to work with the squad, and the trip to face an unbeaten Cesena represents a more substantial examination of the new cycle.

Cremonese’s league record is currently one win and two defeats. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.7 conceded per Serie B match, meaning their defensive average is higher than Cesena’s. Their wider five-game form is stronger, with three victories and two defeats, alongside averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

The visitors also bring a clear first-half trend into this contest. There has been at least one goal before the interval in each of Cremonese’s last ten matches, and they have been ahead at half-time in six of those games. At the same time, at least one side failed to score in the first half in 29 of their last 30 matches. This combination suggests that early goals have been common, but not usually for both teams before the break. In addition, at least one team did not score during the second half in 29 of Cremonese’s last 31 fixtures.

Cesena vs Cremonese Match Analysis

The available numbers give Cesena a measurable advantage without making the hosts overwhelming favourites. Their calculated win probability is 47%, compared with 27% for the draw and 26% for a Cremonese victory. Cesena’s unbeaten Serie B record, lower average of goals conceded and home advantage all support the view that they can take another positive result.

Cremonese cannot be dismissed after scoring three times against Calcio Padova. Their three victories from the last five matches also show that the opening league defeats do not provide a complete picture of their form. Nevertheless, they face opponents who have already demonstrated resilience, particularly in taking a point against Sampdoria despite playing for a long spell with one fewer player.

The goal markets indicate another potentially tight contest. Under 2.5 goals is rated at 55%, while the probability of over 2.5 is 45%. The assessment for both teams to score is similarly narrow, with No at 52% and Yes at 48%. Cesena’s last-five scoring average of 0.8 and Cremonese’s repeated pattern of at least one team failing to score in individual halves both reinforce the possibility of limited scoring phases.

The head-to-head summary slightly favours Cesena, who have three wins and two defeats across the stated five-game sample, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded. There were no draws in that sequence, while the latest meeting finished 1-2 on February 22, 2025. Even so, the current context is shaped most clearly by Cesena’s unbeaten league opening and Cremonese’s transition following the managerial change. The hosts appear better placed to avoid defeat, although the visitors’ winning debut under Pecchia should ensure a competitive encounter.

Cesena vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Cesena or Draw (1X) with 74% probability.