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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 7:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 7:01 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Cesena and Empoli promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Saturday, January 10 at 19:30, the match marks the first round of the second half of the season. The hosts will take the field at the Dino Manuzzi Stadium with the ambition of starting the new year on a positive note, while the visitors aim to close the gap to the playoff zone. With both sides showing flashes of quality but also inconsistency, this encounter could be finely balanced from start to finish.
Cesena currently sit sixth in the Serie B standings, having collected 31 points so far. Despite a solid campaign overall, their recent form has dipped slightly, with only one victory in their last four outings. The most recent setback came in a 2-0 defeat against Catanzaro on December 27, a result that highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities. However, the team’s home record remains a major strength — the Bianconeri have won four of their last five matches at the Manuzzi, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season.
Across their last five fixtures, Cesena have registered two wins, two draws, and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Their ability to maintain balance between attack and defense has been key to their position in the upper half of the table. The return of Simone Bastoni from suspension could provide an additional boost, especially in midfield transitions where Cesena often look to impose their rhythm. Playing in front of their home supporters, they will be eager to rediscover the consistency that characterized their early-season performances.
Empoli approach this fixture with renewed confidence after a 1-1 draw against league leaders Frosinone on December 27. That result followed an important away win at Mantova, showing signs of improvement after a mixed run of results. The Azzurri currently occupy ninth place in Serie B, with a record of six wins, six draws, and six defeats. Their attacking output has been encouraging — averaging 1.4 goals per game — but defensive instability remains a concern, as they concede an average of 1.3 goals per match.
In their last five matches, Empoli have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. A notable trend is their tendency to produce lively second halves: over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 19 away matches, and in 21 of their last 23 overall. This pattern suggests that Empoli often grow into games as they progress, which could make them particularly dangerous in the latter stages. However, the absence of key players such as Lovato in defense and Pellegri in attack may limit their options in both penalty areas.
Historically, Empoli have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings with Cesena, the Tuscan side have won three and drawn two, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. The most recent encounter dates back to April 2018, when Empoli triumphed 3-2 in a thrilling contest. While past results favor the visitors, the current dynamics suggest a more balanced matchup this time around.
Cesena’s strength lies in their structured approach and home advantage, often relying on compact defending and quick transitions to create chances. Empoli, on the other hand, tend to play more expansively, pressing high and seeking to exploit spaces behind the opposition’s backline. Given both teams’ scoring averages and defensive records, a tight but entertaining match could unfold, with moments of brilliance likely to decide the outcome. The hosts will look to capitalize on their strong home form, while Empoli’s resilience and attacking flair could keep the contest open until the final whistle.
Considering the statistical balance and recent performances, Cesena appear slightly favored to claim all three points. Their home consistency and the return of key players provide a solid foundation to build upon. Meanwhile, Empoli’s attacking potential cannot be underestimated, but their defensive fragility might prove costly against a side that thrives in front of its fans. The match could feature goals on both ends, yet the Bianconeri’s determination to start the year strongly may tilt the balance in their favor.
BetMines prediction for Cesena vs Empoli: Home Win (1) with 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cesena
Empoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2