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Prediction published on Oct 25, 2026 7:05 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 25, 2026 7:05 PM
Cesena host Empoli in an Italian Serie B match on Tuesday, October 27, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi. Both teams are looking to end winless runs: Cesena have gone five matches without a victory, while Empoli have lost four of their last five. The hosts sit 15th in Serie B and the visitors 17th, making this a meeting between two sides in need of a change in results. Cesena have drawn more often than Empoli recently, but neither team arrives with much momentum.
Cesena began with ambitions of reaching the playoffs, but their results have stalled. Their last five matches have brought three draws and two defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The latest setback was a 3-0 loss against Modena on October 24, following another defeat at Benevento. Those results have placed further attention on a defence that has now conceded in 10 consecutive matches.
Across their eight Serie B matches this season, Cesena have recorded one win, five draws and two losses. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per match, a record that helps explain both their position and their difficulty turning close games into victories. At least two total goals have been scored in each of Cesena's last 10 matches, though that statistic does not specify which side scored them.
Cesena are awaiting the return of Klinsmann in goal, while Fiori is unavailable through suspension. Their matches have also produced a consistent corners trend: more than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 17 fixtures, including their last 16 in Serie B. The immediate priority, however, is to stop conceding and turn their run of draws into a stronger result.
Empoli also enter this fixture after a defeat, having lost 2-0 to Vicenza on October 23. They have taken one draw and suffered four losses in their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 2.0 per game in that stretch. Their Serie B record stands at two wins, one draw and five defeats, with season averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Stiven Shpendi is among the Empoli players whose output has fallen short of last season's level. After scoring 15 goals last season, he has scored once in nine appearances and has lost his starting place. This match also brings a family connection: Stiven is the twin brother of Cesena's Cristian Shpendi. Empoli will be without central defender Curto, who received his second red card of the season.
Despite their recent losses, Empoli's away matches in Serie B show a pattern of competitive first halves. They have not trailed at half-time in their last 13 away league games and have been level at the break in eight of the last nine. Goals after half-time have been common, too: at least one second-half goal has been scored in 19 of their last 20 away Serie B matches. That figure concerns total match goals, not necessarily goals scored by Empoli.
Neither side can point to strong recent form. Cesena have avoided defeat in three of their last five games but have not won any of them; Empoli have lost four over the same span. The hosts' greater tendency to draw may matter in a fixture where both teams are trying to recover from defeats. The supplied win probabilities give Cesena a 47% chance, a draw 30% and Empoli 23%.
The head-to-head record adds some caution to the home side's case. From Cesena's perspective, the five meetings in the supplied summary have produced no wins, two draws and three defeats. The most recent encounter finished 1-1 on February 28, 2026. Cesena's ongoing run of goals conceded and Empoli's recent scoring average both leave questions about how either team will respond, while Empoli's first-half away record suggests this contest may take time to separate them.
For Cesena, a home win would end a five-match wait; for Empoli, avoiding another defeat would interrupt a run of four losses in five. The contrast between Cesena's recent draws and Empoli's recent defeats gives the hosts a potential edge without making a decisive result certain.
Cesena vs Empoli prediction from BetMines: Cesena or Draw (1X) with 77% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cesena
Empoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1