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Prediction published on Mar 2, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Mar 2, 2026 3:01 PM
The midweek round of Serie B brings an intriguing clash on Wednesday evening as Cesena host Monza. The home side are going through a difficult spell, struggling to maintain their playoff position after what once looked like a comfortable campaign. Their recent 1-1 draw away to Empoli did little to ease the pressure, as they have collected only seven points from the last ten matches. Meanwhile, Monza arrive in excellent form, sitting near the top of the table and eyeing another step toward automatic promotion.
Cesena have endured a tough run of results in recent weeks. Their last five matches have produced just one win, one draw and three defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 11 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. These numbers underline a team that has struggled to find consistency, particularly in defense.
One notable trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of Cesena’s last ten Serie B fixtures, suggesting that their matches often come alive after the break. Despite their attacking potential, the defensive instability has cost them valuable points. The recent draw against Empoli, while halting a losing streak, did not fully convince supporters that a turnaround is imminent. Sitting eighth in the standings, Cesena risk slipping further if they cannot rediscover their early-season form.
Monza continue to impress as one of the most consistent sides in Serie B. Their latest 2-0 victory over Virtus Entella extended an unbeaten run that now stretches to eight matches, including four wins and one draw in their last five outings. During this period, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, reflecting a balance between attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.
Across the season, Monza’s record of 17 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats highlights their promotion credentials. They have not lost at half time in 22 of their last 24 league matches, a testament to their strong starts and tactical discipline. Ranked second in Serie B, they share the top spot with Venezia and could move clear with another victory. The team’s consistency and ability to control matches have made them one of the most feared opponents in the division.
The previous meeting between Cesena and Monza this season ended 1-0 in favor of the visitors, a result that underlines the gap between the two sides. Historically, Monza have had the upper hand, and the current form suggests that pattern may continue. Cesena’s defense will need to be far more compact to contain Monza’s attacking rhythm, while the hosts must capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities to stand a chance.
From a tactical perspective, Cesena are likely to focus on containment and quick transitions, hoping to exploit spaces left by Monza’s advanced full-backs. However, Monza’s superior squad depth and confidence in possession could make it difficult for the home side to impose their game. The visitors’ ability to manage tempo and maintain defensive organization has been key to their success throughout the campaign.
All indicators point toward another strong performance from Monza. Their recent momentum, defensive reliability and attacking sharpness make them clear favorites against a Cesena side struggling to regain confidence. The home team’s inconsistent defense could once again be exposed by Monza’s structured and efficient approach.
While Cesena will rely on home advantage and the desire to end their poor run, the visitors’ superior form and composure under pressure give them the edge. A close contest could unfold in the first half, but Monza’s quality should prevail as the match progresses. Given the balance of probabilities — Cesena 33%, Draw 28%, Monza 39% — the visitors appear best placed to secure all three points.
Cesena vs Monza prediction by BetMines:
Monza win (2) with 39% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cesena
Monza
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1