The upcoming Serie B clash between Cesena and Südtirol promises to be a balanced and tactical encounter. Scheduled for Monday afternoon, this match marks the thirty-third round of the Italian second division and could prove decisive for both teams’ ambitions. Cesena are fighting to consolidate their playoff position, while Südtirol are still seeking the points needed to secure safety and possibly push into the top eight. The first meeting earlier this season ended 1-0 in favor of Cesena, a result that reflected the tight nature of their rivalry.

Cesena’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cesena approach this fixture with renewed confidence after a convincing 3-1 victory over Catanzaro on March 21, 2026. That result ended a long winless streak and restored belief among their supporters. Over their last five matches, Cesena have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their overall Serie B record stands at 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

Despite their recent success, Cesena have struggled to impose themselves early in games. They have lost at half time in their last three home matches and also in their last three overall Serie B fixtures. This trend highlights a recurring issue with slow starts, something they will need to address if they want to maintain their playoff hopes. Playing at home could, however, provide a psychological boost, as the team will look to build on the momentum from their latest win and the support of their fans.

• Ranking: 8th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1W – 2D – 2L


• Average goals scored: 1.3 | Average conceded: 1.5


• Lost at half time in last 3 home and overall matches


• Last win: 3-1 vs Catanzaro (21 March 2026)

Südtirol’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Südtirol come into this match after a 1-3 defeat against Frosinone on March 22, 2026, a result that extended their poor run to just one point from the last four games. Despite this, they remain within touching distance of the playoff zone, sitting 11th in Serie B. Their season record shows 8 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. The high number of draws underlines their cautious and balanced approach, particularly away from home, where they tend to prioritize defensive solidity.

In their last five matches, Südtirol have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their matches often feature few goals, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 3 of their last 10 Serie B games and in 2 of their last 10 away fixtures. Another notable trend is that at least one team failed to score at half time in 31 of their last 33 Serie B matches, confirming their tendency toward low-scoring first halves.

• Ranking: 11th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1W – 1D – 3L


• Average goals scored: 1.1 | Average conceded: 1.1


• At least one team didn’t score at half time in 31 of last 33 matches


• Last defeat: 1-3 vs Frosinone (22 March 2026)

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The historical record between these two sides favors Cesena, who remain unbeaten in their last five meetings with 2 wins and 3 draws. The average scoreline in these encounters has been tight, with Cesena scoring 0.8 goals per match and conceding only 0.4. The first-leg fixture earlier this season ended 1-0 for Cesena, a result that mirrored the balance and defensive discipline typical of this matchup.

Both teams rely heavily on organization and compactness rather than open attacking play. Cesena’s recent improvement in attack could be offset by their defensive lapses, while Südtirol’s resilience and tendency to draw make them a difficult opponent to break down. Given their similar profiles and current form, another close contest is expected, with few clear chances and a strong likelihood of a low-scoring outcome.

Cesena vs Südtirol Prediction and Betting Analysis

According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at 42% for Cesena, 28% for a draw, and 30% for Südtirol. The Both Teams To Score – No option has a slight edge with 51% probability, while the Under 2.5 goals market is favored at 57%. These figures align with the teams’ recent performances and head-to-head history, both of which suggest a tight and tactical battle.

Cesena’s home advantage and recent morale boost could make them marginal favorites, but Südtirol’s ability to grind out draws, especially away from home, cannot be overlooked. With both sides showing similar scoring and defensive averages, the most probable scenario points toward a balanced match with limited goal opportunities.

Cesena vs Südtirol prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.