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Ceuta vs Castellón Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 2 09-05-2026

Ceuta

1 - 1

FT

Castellón

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Daniel Palencia Caballero
light rain 19.1 °C

Prediction published on May 7, 2026 12:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on May 7, 2026 12:01 PM

The upcoming clash between AD Ceuta and Castellón promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 39th round in LaLiga Hypermotion. Both teams arrive with contrasting dynamics but share the same ambition of finishing the season on a high note. Ceuta will play in front of their home crowd at the Alfonso Murube Stadium, hoping to build on their recent victory, while Castellón aim to bounce back after a setback that ended their impressive unbeaten streak.


Ceuta’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Ceuta come into this match after a hard-fought 2-1 away win against Sporting Gijón, a result that ended a frustrating run of five games without victory. During that period, the team collected four draws and one defeat, struggling to find consistency in front of goal. Their overall record in LaLiga 2 stands at 14 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.


Despite their mid-table position, currently 11th with 54 points, Ceuta have shown resilience and the ability to compete against stronger sides. However, their offensive production has been inconsistent, as reflected by the fact that Under 0.5 goals have been scored in their last two home matches. In the last ten league games, only two have featured fewer than 0.5 total goals, indicating that while they can defend well, their attack often struggles to convert chances.



  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat.

  • Average goals scored: 0.8 per match.

  • Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match.

  • Last home matches: 2 consecutive with Under 0.5 goals.


Ceuta’s recent improvement, highlighted by their win in Asturias, could serve as a morale boost. Yet, with the playoff spots now out of reach, their main objective will be to finish the campaign strongly and secure a top-half position.


Castellón’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Castellón travel south after a 2-1 defeat against Córdoba, a result that halted their seven-game unbeaten run. Before that loss, they had recorded four victories and three draws, showing a strong attacking rhythm and solid performances against top opponents. Their season record in LaLiga 2 is impressive: 18 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.


Currently sitting in fifth place with 64 points, Castellón remain firmly in the playoff zone and continue to fight for a better seeding. Their attacking consistency has been remarkable, having scored at least one goal in each of their last 15 league games. Moreover, Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in all of those matches, confirming their offensive reliability. Away from home, however, they have occasionally struggled to break down compact defenses, as shown by four of their last fifteen away fixtures ending with Under 0.5 goals.



  • Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat.

  • Average goals scored: 2.4 per match.

  • Average goals conceded: 1.8 per match.

  • Unbeaten at half time in 26 of their last 29 matches.


Even after the recent defeat, Castellón’s momentum and attacking form make them one of the most dangerous teams in the league. Their ability to maintain control in the first half and create chances consistently could be decisive in this encounter.


Ceuta vs Castellón Tactical Overview and Prediction


The previous meeting between these two sides ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw, suggesting that goals could again play a major role. Historically, Castellón have had the upper hand, with Ceuta yet to record a win in their last three head-to-head clashes. The home side will rely on their defensive organization and counterattacks, while Castellón are expected to dominate possession and look for early breakthroughs.


Statistically, both teams tend to produce open games when facing each other, with an average of 4.7 total goals per match in their recent encounters. Ceuta’s defensive discipline will be tested against a Castellón side that rarely fails to score. On the other hand, the visitors must be cautious of Ceuta’s ability to exploit spaces, especially in transitions.


Given the current form and statistical trends, Castellón appear slightly favored to take all three points. Their attacking consistency and superior league position give them a small edge, although Ceuta’s home advantage could make this a closer contest than expected.


Ceuta vs Castellón prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is an away win (2) with a probability of 43%. A draw (X) follows at 27%, while a home win (1) stands at 30%. Both teams are expected to contribute offensively, with Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score – Yes each holding a 54% likelihood.

Ceuta vs Castellón - Predictions

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Ceuta vs Castellón: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Ceuta

Castellón

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Ceuta and Castellón in La Liga 2

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

6

Castellón

42

20

12

10

70:51

72

1.71

L
D
D
W
W
11

Ceuta

42

17

10

15

51:63

61

1.45

W
D
L
W
W
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Ceuta vs Castellón: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Ceuta vs Castellón be played?
The La Liga 2 match between Ceuta and Castellón will be played on May 9, 2026 at 12:00.
Where will Ceuta vs Castellón be played?
The match between Ceuta and Castellón will be played at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta - Spain
Who will referee Ceuta vs Castellón?
The referee for the match will be Daniel Palencia Caballero.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Ceuta vs Castellón in the La Liga 2?
The odds are: Ceuta to win 4.75, draw 4.50, Castellón to win 1.60.
What are the betting odds for Ceuta vs Castellón for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga 2?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.47 and Under 2.5 at 2.60.
Will both Ceuta and Castellón score in the La Liga 2?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.37.
What is the most likely correct score for Ceuta vs Castellón in the La Liga 2?
The most likely correct score is 1-2, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Ceuta and Castellón?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Ceuta and Castellón, Ceuta won 0 times, Castellón won 1, and 2 ended in a draw.

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