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Ceuta
1 - 2
FT
Deportivo La Coruña
Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 9:00 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 9:00 PM
The upcoming clash between A.D. Ceuta and Deportivo de La Coruña promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the LaLiga Hypermotion matchday thirty. Both sides are fighting for crucial points in their respective battles — Ceuta aiming to break into the playoff spots and Deportivo looking to strengthen their position in the promotion race. The match will be played at the Municipal Alfonso Murube, where the home side will seek redemption after a heavy defeat in their previous outing.
Ceuta approach this encounter after suffering a tough 4-0 away loss against Las Palmas on March 8, a result that ended their positive run of three consecutive victories over Mirandés, Córdoba, and Granada. Despite that setback, the team remains competitive in the playoff race, currently sitting eighth in the table with 44 points — just four behind sixth-placed Málaga.
Across their last five matches, Ceuta have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 12 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly encouraging, as they have led at half time in their last three home games in La Liga 2.
Ceuta’s matches tend to start lively — Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half in 18 of their last 20 fixtures. This attacking intent early in games could be a key factor as they look to bounce back in front of their fans. However, their defensive fragility remains a concern, especially against a side as efficient as Deportivo.
Deportivo de La Coruña travel to Ceuta after a disappointing 0-2 home defeat against Granada, a result that marked their second loss in the last five matches. Even so, the Galician side remain firmly in the top positions, sitting fourth in the table with 49 points — only three away from the automatic promotion zone.
In their last five outings, Deportivo have also recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their season record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses reflects a balanced campaign, built on a solid defense that concedes just over one goal per game. They have also shown consistency in the second half of matches, with Over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 19 of their last 20 away games and in 28 of their last 30 overall.
Deportivo’s away performances have been dynamic and often unpredictable, but their ability to find goals late in matches could prove decisive. Their attacking efficiency and experience in high-pressure situations make them a dangerous opponent for any side, particularly one like Ceuta that has shown defensive vulnerabilities.
Historically, Deportivo de La Coruña have dominated this fixture. In their previous meetings, Ceuta have yet to record a win, with the head-to-head record showing 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats. Ceuta have averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game in these encounters. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 in favor of Deportivo on November 23, 2025.
Given these precedents, Ceuta will need to rely on their strong home momentum and early attacking approach to challenge Deportivo’s structured defense. The visitors, on the other hand, will look to exploit Ceuta’s defensive lapses, particularly in transitions. Both teams have shown a tendency to produce open games, with Ceuta’s early goals and Deportivo’s second-half scoring patterns suggesting a match that could feature goals at both ends.
This fixture brings together two sides with similar recent trajectories and attacking averages. Ceuta’s home advantage and their ability to start games strongly could give them an edge in the first half, but Deportivo’s resilience and second-half scoring consistency make them equally capable of turning the tide. The statistics point toward a balanced contest, with both teams likely to find the net.
Considering the data from recent matches and the offensive trends of both sides, the BetMines prediction for this game is Both Teams To Score – Yes, with a 58% probability. This outcome aligns with the attacking profiles of both teams and their recent scoring patterns, suggesting an entertaining and competitive encounter at the Alfonso Murube.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ceuta
Deportivo La Coruña
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0