The clash between CF Montréal and New York City FC takes center stage in matchday 10 of the 2026 Major League Soccer season. The encounter at the Saputo Stadium promises to be a thrilling one, as both sides have been involved in high-scoring games throughout the campaign. Historically, the visitors from the Big Apple have had the upper hand in direct meetings, but Montréal will look to use their home advantage to close the gap and climb the standings.

CF Montréal’s Recent Form and Key Stats

CF Montréal enter this fixture sitting 13th in the MLS table, having endured a difficult start to the season. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats reflects inconsistency, but their attacking output has been respectable with an average of 1.5 goals scored per match. Defensively, however, they have struggled, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game.

In their last five matches, Montréal have managed just one victory — a convincing 4-1 win over New York RB on April 18, 2026 — while losing the other four. Despite these setbacks, the team has shown a tendency to produce entertaining matches, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in each of their last 22 league games. Their home performances follow a similar pattern, with Over 1.5 goals in the last 10 home fixtures and Over 0.5 goals at half time in the last 12.

While Montréal’s attack has been lively, their defense remains a concern. They have conceded at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 MLS matches, a trend that could prove costly against a side as offensively capable as New York City. Nonetheless, Montréal have shown flashes of promise, particularly in the first halves of their recent home games, winning at half time in their last three outings at Saputo Stadium.

New York City FC’s Recent Form and Key Stats

New York City FC arrive in Montréal positioned 7th in the standings, with a balanced record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats. Their attacking form has been impressive, averaging 2.1 goals per game, though defensive lapses have seen them concede 1.7 on average. Their most recent outing was a dramatic 4-4 draw against Cincinnati on April 22, 2026, underlining both their attacking potency and defensive vulnerability.

Across their last five matches, New York City have failed to secure a win, recording two draws and three losses. However, their matches have consistently delivered goals, with Over 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 league fixtures and Over 0.5 goals at half time in all of their last 10 away games. The visitors have also seen goals in the second half in each of their last 10 matches, suggesting a pattern of open, end-to-end football.

Historically, New York City hold a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, though the last meeting between the two sides ended 1-0 in June 2025. The visitors’ attacking depth and ability to find the net regularly make them a dangerous opponent, especially against a Montréal defense that has struggled to keep clean sheets.

CF Montréal vs New York City FC Analysis and Tactical Overview

This fixture brings together two teams that thrive in attacking transitions but often leave gaps at the back. Montréal’s home advantage and recent scoring form could make them competitive early on, but their defensive fragility remains a major concern. New York City, on the other hand, have shown resilience in high-scoring draws and will likely approach this match with confidence after their eight-goal thriller against Cincinnati.

Given both teams’ recent trends, a match with multiple goals seems highly probable. Montréal’s tendency to concede early and New York City’s consistent scoring record suggest that both sides will find the net. The visitors’ superior ranking and attacking consistency could give them a slight edge, but Montréal’s home form ensures that the contest remains finely balanced.

• CF Montréal: 2 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses (Avg goals 1.5, conceded 2.5)


• New York City FC: 3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses (Avg goals 2.1, conceded 1.7)


• Over 1.5 goals in last 22 Montréal matches


• Over 1.5 goals in last 10 New York City matches


• BTTS – Yes probability: 59%


• Over 2.5 goals probability: 59%

BetMines Prediction

Based on the statistical trends and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards an Over 2.5 goals outcome, with a 59% probability. Both teams have been involved in goal-rich encounters, and their defensive vulnerabilities further support the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

CF Montréal vs New York City FC prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.