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Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 1:05 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 1:05 PM
The upcoming clash between Chapecoense and Botafogo promises to be an intriguing encounter in the Brasileirão Série A. Scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026, this match brings together two teams living very different moments in the competition. The home side are struggling to find consistency and remain near the bottom of the standings, while the visitors from Rio de Janeiro are looking to build momentum after a positive run of results in both domestic and continental competitions. Despite Botafogo’s slight favoritism, both sides have shown defensive fragility, suggesting that goals could be on the cards.
Chapecoense enter this fixture in a delicate situation. The team currently sits 19th in the Serie A standings and has found it difficult to secure victories. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat against Athletico PR on April 12, 2026. Over the last five matches, Chapecoense have recorded no wins, two draws, and three losses, averaging just 0.2 goals scored per game while conceding 1.8. These numbers highlight the team’s offensive struggles and defensive vulnerabilities.
Across the season, Chapecoense’s record stands at one win, five draws, and four defeats, with an average of one goal scored and 1.8 conceded per match. However, there is a small positive note: the team has shown resilience in the first half, avoiding defeat before halftime in 19 of their last 21 home games. This suggests that while they often start matches competitively, maintaining performance levels after the break remains a challenge.
In terms of squad news, Chapecoense have been dealing with several absences. Players such as Matias Bruno, Giovanni Augusto, and Robert are unavailable, forcing coach Fábio Matias to rely on a mix of experienced and younger players. Possible names in the lineup include Rafael Santos, Marcos Vinícius, Bruno Leonardo, Eduardo Doma, Bruno Pacheco, Camilo, João Vitor, Ênio, Meritão, Ítalo, and Bolasie. The team will need to make the most of their home advantage to stand a chance against a more confident opponent.
Botafogo arrive in Chapecó with a more encouraging record. The team currently occupies 11th place in the Serie A table and recently celebrated a 3-2 away victory against Racing Club on April 15, 2026. Over their last five matches, Botafogo remain unbeaten, collecting three wins and two draws, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. This attacking efficiency has been one of their main strengths, although defensive lapses continue to be an issue.
Throughout the season, Botafogo’s Serie A record shows four wins, one draw, and five losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. The team has been involved in high-scoring games, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 15 league matches. Moreover, they have conceded at least one goal in their last 12 fixtures, underlining the need for defensive improvement. Interestingly, both teams have scored in the second half in nine of their last 15 Serie A games, reinforcing the expectation of an open contest.
Botafogo’s coach, Franclim Carvalho, faces some selection challenges as well. Joaquin Correa, Kaio, and Marçal are ruled out, while Hernandez remains doubtful. Even so, the squad retains quality options such as Raul, Vitinho, Bastos, Barboza, Alex Telles, Medina, Danilo, Santi Rodríguez, Montoro, Matheus Martins, and Arthur Cabral. The visitors’ attacking potential could prove decisive, especially if they manage to exploit Chapecoense’s defensive weaknesses.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar defensive concerns. Chapecoense will rely on their home crowd and early-game discipline to resist Botafogo’s pressure, while the visitors will look to continue their attacking momentum. The home side’s main challenge will be to convert their limited chances, as their scoring average remains among the lowest in the league. On the other hand, Botafogo’s attacking line has been productive, but their defense often leaves gaps that opponents can exploit.
Historically, Chapecoense have struggled in this matchup, with no wins, one draw, and four defeats in their last five meetings against Botafogo, scoring only 0.2 goals per game on average. However, given both teams’ current defensive records, this encounter could break that trend and deliver a more balanced contest. The likelihood of goals on both sides is supported by the fact that Botafogo’s recent matches have consistently featured scoring action in the second half.
Considering the statistical background, Chapecoense will aim to stay compact and capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks, while Botafogo will seek to dominate possession and use their offensive depth to create chances. The visitors’ superior form and attacking rhythm make them slight favorites, but the hosts’ resilience at home could keep the game competitive until the final whistle.
Chapecoense vs Botafogo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chapecoense
Botafogo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0