The closing match of the seventh round of the Brazilian Serie A brings an interesting clash between Chapecoense and Corinthians. The game is scheduled for Thursday, March 19, at 21:30 (Brasília time), at the Arena Condá. Both teams arrive with similar points but different recent performances, making this encounter crucial for their ambitions in the national championship.

Chapecoense’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Chapecoense currently sit in 12th place in Serie A with six points, having played one match fewer than their opponent. Their campaign so far includes one win, three draws, and one defeat. The team has shown balance in attack and defense, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match this season. In their most recent outing, they drew 1-1 against Grêmio on March 16.

At home, Chapecoense have been particularly resilient. They have avoided defeat at half time in 20 of their last 21 home matches and in 36 of their last 40 overall. This consistency in the opening stages of games reflects a disciplined approach, especially when playing in front of their supporters. Despite a modest start to the season, the team remains unbeaten at home and will look to maintain that record against a historically difficult opponent.

In their last five matches across all competitions, Chapecoense have recorded one victory, three draws, and one loss. The team’s offensive output has been steady, but defensive lapses have occasionally cost them points. Their main challenge will be converting home advantage into a full three points against a side that has dominated this fixture in recent years.

• Ranking in Serie A: 12th


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.8


• Average goals conceded: 1.8


• Haven’t lost at half time in 20 of last 21 home matches

Corinthians’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Corinthians enter this fixture in 8th place with eight points after six matches, having registered two wins, two draws, and two defeats. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Santos on March 15, a match where they took the lead early but failed to hold on. The team’s recent form has been concerning, as they are winless in their last five games, with three draws and two losses during that stretch.

In terms of scoring, Corinthians have averaged 1.0 goal per match while conceding the same number. Their games have tended to be low-scoring, with Under 3.5 goals in each of their last 22 matches and Under 2.5 goals in their last nine. Away from home, the trend continues, with Under 3.5 goals in their last 15 away fixtures. This suggests a cautious approach that prioritizes defensive stability over attacking risk.

Despite their struggles, Corinthians have shown resilience on the road, avoiding defeat in several recent away matches. Their challenge remains turning draws into wins, especially against teams that defend well at home. Historically, they have dominated Chapecoense, winning all of the last five head-to-head encounters, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent meeting on November 2, 2021.

• Ranking in Serie A: 8th


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.0


• Average goals conceded: 1.0


• Under 2.5 goals in last 9 matches


• Under 3.5 goals in last 15 away matches

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The historical record between these two sides heavily favors Corinthians. In 18 previous meetings, the São Paulo club has won 12, drawn 4, and lost only 2. In the last five encounters, Corinthians have maintained a perfect record, conceding just 1.2 goals on average while keeping Chapecoense scoreless. This dominance adds psychological weight to the visitors’ side, even if their current form is less convincing.

Chapecoense, on the other hand, will rely on their home strength and defensive organization to counter the visitors’ experience. Their unbeaten home run this season provides confidence, but they must find a way to break down a defense that often keeps matches tight. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, a low-scoring contest seems likely, with the midfield battle expected to dictate the rhythm of play.

For Corinthians, maintaining compactness and exploiting transitions could be key, while Chapecoense will aim to capitalize on set pieces and home momentum. The balance of probabilities suggests a cautious start, with both teams wary of conceding early.

Chapecoense vs Corinthians Prediction

Based on the statistical trends and recent performances, this match is expected to be closely contested. Chapecoense’s home resilience contrasts with Corinthians’ historical superiority and defensive discipline. The data indicates a strong likelihood of a low-scoring affair, with Under 2.5 goals appearing as the most probable outcome.

Chapecoense vs Corinthians prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 59% probability.