The upcoming clash between Chapecoense and Flamengo marks the closing fixture of the first half of the Serie A season. Scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, this encounter at the Arena Condá promises to be a test of resilience for the home side and a chance for the visitors to maintain their pursuit of the league leaders. The contrast between the two teams could not be more striking: while Flamengo sit comfortably in second place, Chapecoense find themselves at the bottom of the table, struggling to rediscover form after a difficult return to the top flight.

Chapecoense’s Recent Form and Key Stats

For Chapecoense, the season has been a constant uphill battle. The team has collected just one win in eighteen matches, with six draws and eleven defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 loss to Bahia on July 17, extending a worrying run of seventeen league games without victory. The numbers tell a clear story: an average of 0.9 goals scored per match and 1.9 conceded, making them both the least effective attack and the most vulnerable defense in Serie A.

At home, Chapecoense have struggled to impose themselves, often conceding early and failing to recover. They have not led at half time in any of their last eighteen league matches, and at least one goal has been conceded in each of their last twelve. The team’s morale has been further tested by injuries and departures during the mid-season break, forcing the coach to rely on a reshuffled lineup. Despite these challenges, the squad remains determined to end their winless streak and give their supporters something to cheer about.

• Ranking: 20th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Average goals: 0.9 scored, 1.9 conceded


• Streaks: 17 matches without a win, 12 consecutive games conceding at least one goal

Flamengo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Flamengo approach this fixture in strong form and high spirits. The Rubro-Negro have recorded ten wins, four draws, and three defeats in the league, boasting an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per game. Their recent performances underline their attacking strength and defensive balance. In their last five matches, Flamengo have achieved three victories, one draw, and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match.

The team’s preparation during the mid-season break was particularly encouraging. They remained unbeaten in their training camp, including a 4-2 win over Olimpia on July 17. Their offensive rhythm has been consistent, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last seventeen matches. This ability to maintain pressure and find goals after the break has been one of their key strengths throughout the campaign.

• Ranking: 2nd in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.8 scored, 0.9 conceded


• Recent highlight: 4-2 win over Olimpia


• Half-time record: led in 9 of their last 15 league games

Chapecoense vs Flamengo Tactical Overview

This matchup presents a classic case of a struggling underdog facing a title contender. Chapecoense will likely focus on defensive organization and counter-attacks, hoping to exploit any complacency from their visitors. However, their defensive fragility and lack of offensive efficiency make this a daunting challenge. The home side’s inability to keep clean sheets or control the tempo of matches has been a recurring issue throughout the season.

Flamengo, on the other hand, enter the game with confidence and momentum. Their attacking depth and ability to dominate possession should allow them to dictate the pace from the outset. The visitors’ recent form suggests they are capable of breaking down even the most compact defenses, particularly in the second half when their intensity tends to increase. Given the disparity in quality and current form, Flamengo are expected to control proceedings and create numerous scoring opportunities.

Historically, this fixture has favored Flamengo, with four wins and one draw in the last five meetings, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match against Chapecoense. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw, but the current context points toward a different outcome this time around.

Prediction and Betting Insight

All indicators point toward a dominant performance from Flamengo. Their superior attacking record, defensive solidity, and consistent second-half scoring make them clear favorites. Chapecoense’s ongoing struggles, both in form and confidence, further reinforce this outlook. While the home team may attempt to frustrate their opponents early on, maintaining resistance for ninety minutes appears unlikely.

According to the latest probabilities, Flamengo have a 46% chance of winning, compared to 26% for Chapecoense and 28% for a draw. The goal markets suggest a balanced outlook, with Under 2.5 goals slightly favored at 56% probability, while Both Teams To Score stands evenly at 50%.

Chapecoense vs Flamengo prediction from BetMines: Flamengo win (2) with 46% probability.