Tools
Chapecoense
8:00 PM
September 12, 2026
Internacional
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 8:03 PM
Chapecoense and Internacional meet on September 12, 2026, at 20:00 local time in a crucial Brazilian Serie A fixture at Arena Condá in Chapecó. The home side are 20th in the standings, while Internacional occupy 18th place, making the three points particularly important for both teams. Chapecoense approach the match with improving results after beating Corinthians 2-1 on September 6, whereas Internacional suffered a 3-2 defeat against Santos on the same date. Although the hosts have gained momentum, both sides have struggled defensively throughout the season. Their vulnerability without the ball, combined with the pressure surrounding this encounter, creates the conditions for a competitive and potentially open contest.
Chapecoense enter this match after recording two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five games. They scored an average of 1.6 goals per match during that sequence but conceded 1.8, highlighting both their recent attacking improvement and continuing defensive problems. Their latest victory was especially notable, as they came from behind to defeat Corinthians 2-1 away from home.
The broader Serie A numbers remain difficult for the home team. Chapecoense have collected three wins, eight draws and 14 defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per league match. They are still 20th, but two victories in their last three fixtures have given them a more encouraging platform ahead of this direct battle near the bottom of the table. They have also suffered only one defeat in their last four Serie A rounds.
The first-half statistics underline one of their most persistent weaknesses. Chapecoense have failed to be ahead at half-time in 24 of their last 25 Serie A matches and in 27 of their previous 29 games across all competitions. They have trailed at the interval in seven of their last 10 league fixtures. Avoiding another slow start will therefore be a major challenge against an opponent facing similar first-half difficulties.
Marcinho arrives in strong form after scoring both goals in the win over Corinthians. With five Serie A goals, he is Chapecoense's leading scorer in the competition. However, the hosts have injury concerns, including right-back Heitor, whose muscular problem was confirmed after he left the previous match with leg pain. Max and Rafael Cavalheira are also listed among the unavailable players.
Internacional travel to Arena Condá under considerable pressure. They are without a victory in 10 league rounds and have lost their last three matches across the competitions mentioned in the available information. Their most recent Serie A appearance ended in a 3-2 loss to Santos, following another league defeat against Bahia. They were also eliminated from the Copa do Brasil after a 3-1 defeat to Grêmio.
The visitors have no wins, two draws and three defeats from their last five matches. Over that period, they averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their full Serie A record stands at five victories, 10 draws and 11 losses, with averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 allowed. Those figures place Internacional 18th and illustrate why ending the current winless sequence has become increasingly urgent.
Internacional's first-half record is another important feature of this preview. They have been behind at half-time in each of their last three matches and in six of their previous 10 Serie A fixtures. Away from home, they have trailed at the interval in seven of their last 10 games, including six of their last 10 league trips. With Chapecoense also regularly struggling before the break, the opening 45 minutes could have a major influence on the final outcome.
The away side also have several confirmed absences. Allex, Benjamin Arhin, Kayky and Sergio Rochet are in the medical department, while Victor Gabriel remains suspended. Matheus Bahia is unavailable after being sent off in the previous round, and Aguirre collected his third yellow card in that same game.
CHAPECOENSE: Anderson; Everton, Kauan Faria, Doma, Fernando; Bruno Matias or Camilo, Y. Felipe, G. Augusto; Maurício Garcez, Túlio Eduardo, Marcinho.
INTERNACIONAL: Matheus Cunha or Anthoni; Bruno Gomes, Mercado, Maripán, Bernabei; Villagra, Bruno Henrique or Thiago Maia, Alan Patrick; Vitinho, Carbonero, Sanabria.
The statistical picture presents a closely balanced contest. The available win probabilities give Chapecoense a 39% chance, compared with 33% for Internacional and 28% for the draw. Home advantage and the recent victory over Corinthians slightly strengthen Chapecoense's case, but their overall league record and average of two goals conceded per match prevent them from being considered clear favourites.
Internacional's long winless run is a serious concern, particularly after conceding three goals against Santos. Nevertheless, the visitors have a stronger head-to-head summary from the five meetings listed: Chapecoense have one win and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The most recent encounter, however, ended in a 2-0 result on March 22, 2026, showing that the hosts have already enjoyed success in this matchup during the year.
Goals markets are finely divided. Both teams to score is rated at 52%, while the under 2.5-goal option carries a 54% probability. Chapecoense's last five fixtures produced averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Internacional's corresponding figures are 1.0 and 1.8. The hosts' fragile season-long defense suggests Internacional can create opportunities, but the visitors' lack of victories makes it difficult to place full confidence in either side.
The strongest numerical angle concerns the first half. Chapecoense have rarely reached the interval in front, while Internacional have repeatedly trailed at half-time both overall and away from home. With both teams urgently needing points and each showing a pattern of first-half setbacks, an early breakthrough is more strongly supported than the closely matched full-time outcomes.
Chapecoense vs Internacional prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 75% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chapecoense
Internacional
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2