Chapecoense host São Paulo at Arena Condá in Chapecó on August 23, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 21:30 local time. This Serie A fixture brings together two teams searching for a much-needed league victory. Chapecoense are 20th after recording only one win in 22 matches, while São Paulo occupy 13th place with seven victories from the same number of games. Although neither side has produced convincing league form lately, the visitors arrive after a morale-boosting 3-1 result against Club Bolívar.

Chapecoense Recent Form and Key Statistics

Chapecoense enter this contest following a 3-3 draw with Bahia on August 16. That result extended their winless Serie A sequence to 21 matches, underlining the scale of their current difficulties. Their last five fixtures have produced three draws and two defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.

The broader league numbers are equally challenging. Chapecoense have registered one victory, eight draws and 13 defeats, averaging 1.1 goals for and 2.1 against. They have conceded at least once in each of their last 16 Serie A games, so defensive resistance will be one of the main issues to address against São Paulo.

Their first-half record also stands out. Chapecoense have failed to lead at the interval in their last 22 league matches and have been behind at half-time in each of the previous five Serie A fixtures. Across all competitions, they have not held a half-time advantage in 25 of their last 26 games. These patterns suggest that a solid opening period will be crucial if the home side are to remain competitive.

In addition to their league struggles, Chapecoense were eliminated from the Copa do Brasil by Cruzeiro. Their subsequent Serie A results were a 2-1 away defeat against Coritiba and the six-goal draw with Bahia. Giovanni Augusto, described as the team's highest-rated attacker in the competition, scored one of Chapecoense's three goals against Bahia.

The hosts have six players unavailable through injury: Bruno Tubarão, Max Alves, Rafael Cavalheira, João Paulo, Yannick Bolasie and Robert. Rafael Lacerda is therefore expected to retain the core of the team used in the previous round.

São Paulo Recent Form and Key Statistics

São Paulo have also endured a difficult Serie A run, but their overall record remains stronger than Chapecoense's. The visitors have seven wins, six draws and nine losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per league match. Across their last five fixtures, they have collected one victory, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.4 goals for and 1.2 against.

The 3-1 victory over Club Bolívar on August 19 provided an encouraging response and secured progress to the quarter-finals of the Sul-Americana. Attention now returns to Serie A, where São Paulo are attempting to end a nine-round wait for a win. Their season total of 27 goals scored and 26 conceded highlights a far more balanced profile than that of the hosts.

Several timing trends are relevant to this matchup. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in São Paulo's last 14 Serie A matches and in their last 12 away league fixtures. The same outcome has occurred in 20 of their previous 22 Serie A away games. Meanwhile, São Paulo have led at half-time in their last four matches and avoided going into the interval behind in 19 of the last 20.

Despite those strong half-time results, their away matches have generally featured controlled opening periods: 18 of São Paulo's last 20 Serie A away games have produced under 1.5 first-half goals. In addition, at least one team has failed to score before the interval in 36 of their last 37 matches.

Victor Sá remains doubtful while recovering from pain in his right ankle. Arboleda and Bobadilla are confirmed absentees because of physical problems, while Lucas Moura, Maik and Tolói also remain under medical care.

Chapecoense vs São Paulo Match Analysis

The available numbers give São Paulo a narrow edge, with win probabilities of 33% for Chapecoense, 29% for the draw and 37% for the visitors. The away side also have the stronger head-to-head record: across the five-match summary, Chapecoense have no wins, two draws and three defeats, averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.

The latest meeting ended 2-0 to São Paulo on March 12, 2026. Chapecoense's long winless sequence and run of 16 league matches without a clean sheet create an opportunity for the visitors, especially after their victory over Club Bolívar. However, São Paulo's own nine-round league drought means the contest cannot be treated as straightforward.

The goals data point toward a measured game despite Chapecoense's recent 3-3 draw. Under 2.5 goals carries a 60% probability, while both teams to score is rated at 48% for Yes and 52% for No. São Paulo's controlled first halves, combined with Chapecoense's repeated failure to lead at the break, may produce a cautious opening before the match becomes more active after half-time.

Probable Lineups for Chapecoense vs São Paulo

Chapecoense: Anderson; Everton, Eduardo Doma, Kauan Faria, Fernando; Camilo, Yago Felipe, Franco Rossi, Marcinho, Giovanni Augusto; Túlio.
Coach: Rafael Lacerda.

São Paulo: Rafael; Lucas Ramon, Domingos Duarte, Sabino, Iago or Wendell; Danielzinho, Marcos Antônio, Newton; Artur, Luciano, Calleri.
Coach: Dorival Júnior.

Chapecoense vs São Paulo prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.