Tools
Prediction published on Aug 31, 2025 1:42 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on Aug 31, 2025 3:37 PM
On Tuesday, September 2, at the Arena Condá in Chapecó, Chapecoense hosts Vila Nova aiming for their third consecutive league win and to keep pushing for promotion. In Round 24 of Serie B Betano, Gilmar Dal Pozzo’s side comes in full confidence: unbeaten for two months, sitting in third place, and only four points behind league leaders Goiás. If the season ended today, Chape would return to Serie A Betano after four years of waiting. With a win, the Verdão would catch Vitória in second place and close the gap to the top spot to just one point. Even in case of a slip, they risk little: their direct chasers have failed to capitalize this round, almost all dropping points. Looking to spoil Chapecoense’s plans will be Vila Nova, currently eighth in the table. Paulo Tourra’s men, coming off a 2-0 defeat against Botafogo SP, are seeking a bounce-back: a win in Chapecó would bring them within just three points of the promotion zone, while also consolidating their nine-point cushion above the relegation zone. The visitors’ ambitions are clear, but they could clash with the enthusiasm and solidity of the home side, more determined than ever to leave Serie B behind and reclaim their spot among Brazilian football’s elite.
Chapecoense comes into this match in great shape, riding a nine-game unbeaten streak (six wins and three draws). Last weekend, Dal Pozzo’s men crushed Athletic Club 4-0, with goals from Giovanni Augusto, Victor Caetano, Gabriel Inocencio, and Pedro Perotti.
It’s been a magical run especially for the defense, which has kept clean sheets in their last three league games against Coritiba, Paysandu, and Athletic Club. More generally, the Verdão have conceded in only two of their last seven matches, showing near-perfect defensive organization.
After 23 rounds, Chapecoense is fully in the promotion race to Serie A Betano, holding third place with 40 points (12 wins, 4 draws, 7 defeats). With 34 goals scored so far (1.48 per game), they boast the best attack in the league.
Vila Nova has been inconsistent recently: in their last five matches they’ve collected three defeats and two wins, scoring an average of 1 goal per game while conceding 1.2. Their most recent loss came just a week ago, a 2-0 defeat away to Botafogo SP. That game was influenced by the late red card to Weverton, who will now miss the clash against Chapecoense.
The Tigres currently sit eighth in the standings with 33 points after 23 rounds, holding a record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats. Interestingly, Vila Nova has both scored and conceded 22 goals so far, proving to be more solid defensively than prolific in attack.
Away from home, Tourra’s men have played 12 matches so far: 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats. With just 10 goals scored on the road (0.83 per game), Vila Nova ranks among the least prolific away sides in the competition.
Chapecoense is clearly favored to win this Round 24 Serie B Betano match against Vila Nova, thanks both to home advantage and their superior recent form.
Gilmar Dal Pozzo’s men are unbeaten at home in four games and have won their last three at Arena Condá (against Volta Redonda, CRB, and Paysandu), scoring at least two goals each time. It looks difficult for them to lose against a side that has struggled with consistency away from home.
Tactically, both teams have averaged nearly the same ball possession in their first 23 matches (around 45%), but the hosts have shown greater accuracy both in short passing and long balls. The feeling is that Chapecoense’s higher quality, especially from midfield upwards, could be decisive for victory.
CHAPECOENSE (3-5-2): Vieira; Doma, Caetano, Joao Paulo; Mailton, Carvalhero, Matias, Jimenez, Clar; Marcinho, Neto Pessoa. Coach: Gilmar Dal Pozzo
VILA NOVA (4-3-3): Hails; Elias, Pagnussat, Maia, Higor; Joao Vieira, Ralf, Dodo; Parede, Andre Luis, Ribeiro. Coach: Paulo Tourra
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chapecoense
Vila Nova
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1