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Prediction published on Jan 18, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Jan 18, 2026 8:04 PM
The Championship midweek action continues with an intriguing clash between Charlton Athletic and Derby County at The Valley. Both sides enter this fixture with contrasting ambitions: Charlton are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while Derby are pushing to close the gap on the playoff positions. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this encounter promises to be competitive and potentially open, especially given their previous 1-1 draw earlier in the season.
Charlton Athletic come into this match on the back of a morale-boosting 1-0 home win over Sheffield United, extending their unbeaten run to three games (W1, D2). Despite that, consistency remains an issue for the Addicks, who have managed only two victories in their last 13 league outings. Their current record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats leaves them 18th in the Championship standings with 32 points, just five above the relegation zone.
At home, Charlton have shown flashes of resilience, winning two of their last three league matches at The Valley. Their attacking output has been steady, averaging 1.0 goals per game this season, while conceding 1.2 on average. Encouragingly for home fans, the Addicks have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures, underlining their ability to find the net in front of their supporters.
While defensive lapses have cost them points, Charlton’s home form remains their best hope of climbing away from danger. Another strong performance here could help them build momentum heading into the second half of the season.
Derby County responded to a difficult spell with a crucial 1-0 away victory at Preston North End, ending a run of consecutive defeats. That result lifted them to 12th place with 38 points from 27 matches (W10, D8, L9), keeping their playoff hopes alive. The Rams have been particularly effective on the road, winning five of their last eight away league fixtures (D1, L2), a record that highlights their ability to perform under pressure away from home.
Derby’s attack has been consistent, scoring in each of their last 18 matches in all competitions. Their season averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game reflect a balanced but sometimes unpredictable side. The Rams have also shown a tendency to start strongly, having led at half-time in six of their last ten away league matches.
With their away form among the best in the mid-table group, Derby will look to build on their recent win and maintain pressure on the top six. However, defensive concentration will be key against a Charlton side that rarely fails to score at home.
Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced, with both sides winning twice and drawing once in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 1-1, suggesting another close contest could be on the cards. Both teams have shown a pattern of scoring and conceding regularly, which aligns with the expectation of an open game.
Charlton’s home scoring streak and Derby’s consistent attacking record make a strong case for both teams finding the net. The Addicks’ defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Derby’s solid away form, further support this outlook. While the Rams may have a slight edge in quality and momentum, Charlton’s resilience at The Valley should not be underestimated.
Given the statistical trends and recent performances, this Championship clash looks set to deliver goals at both ends, with neither side likely to keep a clean sheet.
Charlton Athletic vs Derby County prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Charlton Athletic
Derby County
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2