Tools
Chaves
2 - 3
FT
Marítimo
Prediction published on Jan 9, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Jan 9, 2026 5:03 PM
The clash between Desportivo Chaves and Marítimo promises to be one of the most anticipated fixtures of the Liga Portugal 2 weekend. Scheduled for Sunday afternoon, this encounter brings together two sides with clear ambitions of promotion to the top flight. Chaves, currently sitting fourth in the table, are just three points behind the podium positions, while Marítimo lead the standings and have shown remarkable consistency in recent weeks. With both teams boasting strong defensive records and plenty of motivation, this match could be a tense and tactical battle where every detail matters.
Chaves approach this round after a narrow 0-1 defeat against Portimonense SAD, a result that ended their run of three consecutive victories. Despite that setback, their recent form remains solid, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. The team has averaged 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game during that period, underlining their defensive discipline and ability to stay competitive in tight contests.
Throughout the season, Chaves have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 0.8. Their home performances have been particularly consistent, with a remarkable trend of low-scoring games: Under 2.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 home fixtures in Liga Portugal 2. In fact, none of their last 12 home matches in all competitions have produced more than three goals. This pattern highlights a cautious approach at the Estádio Municipal de Chaves, where the team often prioritises defensive solidity over attacking risk.
Given these numbers, Chaves are likely to rely on their compact structure and patience, aiming to frustrate the league leaders and exploit any opportunities on the counterattack.
Marítimo arrive in Chaves full of confidence after a dominant 4-1 away victory over Leixões. The Madeiran side have been in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. Their attacking efficiency has been impressive, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6. Over the course of the season, Marítimo have collected 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
One of the key aspects of their success has been their ability to start games strongly. They have led at half time in six of their last ten league matches, including their last three away fixtures. This early dominance often allows them to control the tempo and manage the game efficiently in the second half. Their away form has also been outstanding, with four victories in their last five trips, confirming their status as one of the most reliable teams on the road in Liga Portugal 2.
Marítimo’s combination of experience, balance, and attacking sharpness makes them a formidable opponent. Their recent performances suggest they will not be intimidated by the challenge of playing away against a strong Chaves side.
When these two teams meet, the margins are often fine. The last head-to-head ended in a 1-1 draw, and historically, Chaves have had the upper hand with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters. However, both sides have evolved since then, and this fixture now pits one of the best home defences against the most efficient attack in the league.
Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring match seems likely. Chaves’ home games rarely exceed two goals, while Marítimo’s defensive organisation ensures they seldom concede more than once. The combination of Chaves’ disciplined approach and Marítimo’s structured play could lead to a cautious first half, with both teams focusing on control rather than risk. The battle in midfield will be crucial, as possession and transitions could determine the outcome.
With both teams in good form and separated by only a few points, this encounter could be decided by small details — a set piece, a defensive lapse, or a moment of individual brilliance. However, the overall balance suggests a tight and strategic contest rather than an open, high-scoring affair.
Chaves vs Marítimo prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards Under 2.5 goals with a 60% probability, reflecting the strong defensive records and recent trends of both sides.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chaves
Marítimo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1