Tools
Chaves
5:45 PM
October 23, 2026
Vizela
Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 6:04 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 6:04 PM
Chaves host Vizela on October 23 at the Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira in the eighth round of Liga Portugal 2. Chaves begin the match in 17th place with five points, seeking a result that could help them move away from the relegation places. Vizela sit eighth but arrive after defeats in the league and cup. The visitors have the stronger league record so far, while Chaves have won three of their last five matches across competitions. That contrast makes this an intriguing fixture: the home side need to turn an improvement in results into league points, and Vizela need to respond to two setbacks.
Chaves have taken one win, two draws and four defeats from their seven Liga Portugal 2 games. They have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per league match, figures that underline the challenge they face at both ends of the pitch. Their opening home defeat to Académica de Coimbra was followed by a narrow 1-0 loss away to Sporting B, and their first league victory did not arrive until the fifth round. Although their recent results offer some encouragement, they have yet to build a sustained run in the competition.
Across all competitions, Chaves' last five matches have produced three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their latest result was a 2-1 win over Os Marialvas on October 16 in the Taça de Portugal. It was another victory to add to their recent record, but the difference between that five-match sequence and their league numbers remains important. Chaves have shown they can win games; they now need that progress to carry into this home fixture against an opponent with more league points.
There is also a clear pattern in the timing of goals in Chaves matches. The second half has featured at least one goal in each of their last 23 matches, including their last 21 in Liga Portugal 2. The same has been true of their last 15 home games and their last 14 home league games. Those streaks refer to total match goals, not necessarily goals scored by Chaves. They do, however, suggest that events after the break have repeatedly shaped their fixtures, whether the home side are protecting a result or trying to change one.
Vizela have recorded three wins, two draws and two defeats in Liga Portugal 2. Their league averages of 1.0 goal scored and 0.9 conceded per match point to a tighter set of results than Chaves have experienced. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Vizela have two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 Taça de Portugal defeat to Atlético CP on October 17, after a 2-0 home league loss to Sporting B.
Vizela have nevertheless produced notable results away from home, including a 3-0 win at Torreense and a 2-2 draw with FC Porto B. Those performances give them grounds for confidence on this trip, particularly against a Chaves side conceding an average of two goals per league match. The question is whether they can regain their scoring touch after failing to find the net in their two most recently described fixtures.
The broader scoring trends call for some caution. At least one team failed to score in 14 of Vizela's last 15 matches. At half-time, at least one side had not scored in 30 of their last 32 matches, including 28 of their last 30 Liga Portugal 2 fixtures. These figures do not mean Vizela cannot score at Chaves, but they show how often their games have included a goalless side. For the visitors, an attacking response would be valuable; for the hosts, limiting chances would mark an improvement on their league defensive average.
The two sides bring different concerns into this Liga Portugal 2 meeting. Chaves have the better recent five-match record, yet remain 17th after winning only once in the league. Vizela are eighth and have conceded fewer goals per league game, but must recover from consecutive defeats against Sporting B and Atlético CP. Chaves' defensive record gives the visitors an opportunity, while Vizela's recent scoring numbers suggest the hosts should not assume this will become an open contest.
The supplied head-to-head record is close: across five meetings, Chaves have two wins and Vizela have three, with no draws. Chaves have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded in those matches, and the latest meeting finished 1-0 on July 18. Combined with Vizela's league averages and the frequency of matches in which at least one team has not scored, that provides a case for a limited goal total. Chaves' second-half streak and higher concession rate are reasons for caution, though: even if the first half is quiet, their matches have consistently produced a goal after the break.
Chaves vs Vizela prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chaves
Vizela
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0