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Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 10-10-2026

Chelsea

5 - 1

FT

AFC Bournemouth

Stamford Bridge
Samuel Barrott
scattered clouds 14.87 °C

Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 2:33 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 2:33 PM

Chelsea host AFC Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge in London on Saturday, October 10, with kick-off at 14:00 local time. The Premier League match brings together a home side seeking a response to a heavy defeat and visitors still waiting for their first league victory of the season. Chelsea are 10th after five matches, while Bournemouth are 17th. Both teams have reasons to see this as an opportunity, but their recent league results also point to a difficult contest for either side to control.

Chelsea's Recent Form and Key Stats

Chelsea have taken seven points from their opening five Premier League games, with two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their latest league result was a 3-0 loss to Brentford on September 18, extending their winless run in the competition to three matches. Across their last five matches, Chelsea have two wins, one draw and two losses, scoring and conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Those numbers capture both sides of Chelsea's start. They average 2.0 goals scored per Premier League match, but also 2.4 conceded. They have let in at least one goal in each of their last 21 league games, while their last 10 Premier League matches have all featured more than 1.5 total goals. At Stamford Bridge this season, Chelsea have collected four points from two league fixtures, scoring six times and conceding five. Home advantage has therefore brought goals and points, though not much defensive security.

Coach Xabi Alonso also has possible absences to consider: Reece James, Moises Caicedo and Joao Pedro could be unavailable. Pedro has contributed three goals and three assists in the Premier League this season. Morgan Rogers and Cole Palmer have five league goals and three assists between them, with Rogers recording two goals and three assists across his last five Chelsea appearances. Chelsea have attacking contributors in form, but their challenge is to make that output count after the setback at Brentford.

AFC Bournemouth's Recent Form and Key Stats

AFC Bournemouth arrive without a Premier League win from their first five games, having drawn three and lost two. Their 1-0 home defeat to Liverpool on September 20 followed three league draws in which both sides scored. Results across Bournemouth's last five matches in all competitions give a different picture: two wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

Their two Premier League trips offer a particular reason to expect a competitive away performance. Bournemouth scored in both but conceded exactly twice on each occasion, most recently drawing 2-2 at Newcastle. Their league averages stand at 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. They have also led at half-time in their last three away matches, although that sequence has yet to translate into a league victory this season.

There are personnel concerns for the visitors. Alex Scott and Justin Kluivert have joined Junior Kroupi and Amine Adli on the sidelines. Evanilson has three assists, while Marcus Tavernier has scored three Premier League goals. Bournemouth will need contributions from their available attacking players if they are to build on the goals they scored in both of their league away games.

Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth Match Analysis

Chelsea's home scoring record and Bournemouth's search for a first league win make the hosts a credible threat, but the defensive figures complicate the picture. Chelsea have conceded in 21 consecutive Premier League matches, including five goals across their first two home league fixtures this season. Bournemouth, meanwhile, found the net in both of their league away games and in each of the three scoring draws that preceded their defeat to Liverpool.

Recent meetings suggest there may be little between the teams. Their last encounter ended 2-2 on December 30, 2025, and Chelsea's five-match head-to-head summary against Bournemouth stands at two wins and three draws, with no defeats. The last three meetings have finished level. That record does not settle what will happen on Saturday, but it adds context to a fixture in which Chelsea's stronger league start is balanced by Bournemouth's ability to take points in drawn matches.

Goals have also been a recurring feature of Chelsea's recent games: each of their last 10 Premier League matches contained at least two in total. For Bournemouth, every one of their last 13 league games has included a second-half goal. Neither trend guarantees an open match, yet Chelsea's scoring at Stamford Bridge and Bournemouth's record of scoring on both league trips give each side a clear route onto the scoresheet.

Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.

Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth - Predictions

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Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Chelsea

AFC Bournemouth

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

5

Chelsea

8

4

1

3

17:15

13

1.63

D
L
W
W
L
13

AFC Bournemouth

8

2

3

3

12:13

9

1.13

D
L
L
W
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth be played?
The Premier League match between Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth will be played on October 10, 2026 at 14:00.
Where will Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth be played?
The match between Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth will be played at Stamford Bridge, London - England
Who will referee Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
The referee for the match will be Samuel Barrott.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League?
The odds are: Chelsea to win 1.80, draw 3.90, AFC Bournemouth to win 4.10.
What are the betting odds for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.57 and Under 2.5 at 2.37.
Will both Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.37.
What is the most likely correct score for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth, Chelsea won 2 times, AFC Bournemouth won 0, and 3 ended in a draw.

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