Tools
Prediction published on Sep 25, 2025 11:27 AM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Sep 26, 2025 7:35 AM
On Saturday, September 27, at Stamford Bridge, Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea host Fabian Hurzeler’s Brighton & Hove Albion in one of the most anticipated fixtures of Premier League 2025/26 Matchday 6. The Blues need a win to bounce back after suffering their first league defeat last weekend, losing the big clash against Manchester United. Enzo Maresca’s team has collected just one point in the last two matches and can’t afford further slip-ups, as the gap from Liverpool, who sit top of the table with maximum points, is already 7 after just five rounds. To get back into the title race, Chelsea must put together a winning streak starting with this clash against the Seagulls, hoping the Reds eventually slow down. Brighton & Hove Albion arrive at Stamford Bridge desperate for points to climb the table, currently closer to the relegation zone than to European spots. Hurzeler’s men must turn around a disappointing start to the season by claiming a prestigious away win against the winners of the latest FIFA Club World Cup. After picking up just a draw and a defeat in their last two league outings, victory here would put the Seagulls level on points with Chelsea and reignite their ambitions of returning to European football after two years.
On September 23, Chelsea progressed to the EFL Cup Round of 16, beating Lincoln City 2-1 away thanks to goals from George and Buonanotte. That success came after two consecutive defeats: 3-1 to Bayern Munich in their Champions League opener and 2-1 to Manchester United in the Premier League.
The reigning FIFA Club World Cup champions have picked up 8 points in their opening league fixtures (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat). Maresca’s men are averaging 2 goals per game in the league, with four players already on 2 goals each: Fernandez, Joao Pedro, Caicedo and Chalobah.
Defensively, though, there’s a concern: Chelsea have conceded 8 goals in their last 4 games, failing to keep a single clean sheet. Maresca will hope for defensive improvements, possibly with the return of injured players like Colwill and Badiashile.
Brighton have shown inconsistency: in the last two league rounds, they lost 2-1 to Bournemouth and drew 2-2 with Tottenham, though they thrashed Barnsley 6-0 in the EFL Cup, with Paraguayan striker Diego Gomez scoring four goals.
In the Premier League, the Seagulls sit on 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats). Hurzeler’s side have struggled in attack, averaging just 1.2 goals per game, and appear to lack a real striker capable of replacing Joao Pedro, their former star who now plays for Chelsea.
Defensively, Brighton remain fragile: they’ve conceded 8 goals in 5 matches (1.6 per game), and keeper Bart Verbruggen has yet to keep a clean sheet this season. It’s unlikely this trend will change at Stamford Bridge.
The Chelsea vs Brighton prediction from BetMines leans strongly toward a home win, as the Blues are desperate for 3 points to stay in touch with the top of the table after their recent setback against Manchester United.
Chelsea have a strong home record, unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League games at Stamford Bridge (10 wins, 2 draws). Meanwhile, Brighton have lost both of their away league games so far: 2-0 at Everton and 2-1 at Bournemouth.
Head-to-head also favors the Blues: they have won their last three home matches against Brighton. The most recent was in September 2024, when Cole Palmer scored four goals in a 4-2 Chelsea victory.
Two more stats strengthen the prediction: Chelsea have kept three consecutive home clean sheets and scored in 19 of their last 20 home games. By contrast, Brighton have managed just one clean sheet in their last 17 Premier League matches.
CHELSEA (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; James, Adarabioyo, Fofana, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Estevao, Palmer, Neto; Pedro. Coach: Enzo Maresca
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Veltman, Dunk, Van Hecke, De Cuyper; Baleba, Ayari; Minteh, Gomez, Mitoma; Rutter. Coach: Fabian Hurzeler
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Brighton & Hove Albion
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0