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Prediction published on Dec 11, 2025 4:05 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Dec 11, 2025 4:05 PM
The upcoming Premier League clash between Chelsea and Everton promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides separated by just two places in the standings. The Blues, currently fifth, are desperate to return to winning ways after a difficult run, while the Toffees, sitting seventh, arrive in London full of confidence following a strong sequence of results. With both teams eyeing European qualification, this fixture at Stamford Bridge could have a significant impact on their ambitions as the season approaches its halfway mark.
Chelsea come into this match after a 2-1 defeat away to Atalanta in the Champions League, a result that extended their winless streak to four games in all competitions. In the Premier League, they have collected just two points from their last three fixtures, drawing against Arsenal and Bournemouth and losing at Leeds United. Despite this dip, the Blues remain within touching distance of the top four, though they are now eight points behind leaders Arsenal.
At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have been inconsistent, winning three of their seven home league matches, drawing two and losing two. However, they have shown resilience in the first halves of games, having not lost at half time in their last 17 home matches and leading at the break in 11 of their last 16. Their attacking output has been steady, with at least one goal scored in 21 of their last 22 matches, while defensively they concede an average of just one goal per game in the league.
In terms of overall performance this season, Chelsea’s Premier League record stands at 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their recent games have tended to be tight affairs, with under 2.5 goals in three of their last four league outings. The Blues will be hoping that the return of Cole Palmer, who missed the midweek trip to Italy, can provide the creative spark they have been lacking. Moises Caicedo, Liam Delap and Wesley Fofana remain unavailable.
Everton are enjoying one of their best starts to a Premier League campaign in recent memory. They travel to London after a convincing 3-0 win over Nottingham Forest and have now won four of their last five league matches. Their only setback in that run was a 4-1 home defeat to Newcastle, but overall their form has been impressive, with 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded on average across their last five games.
In the league, the Toffees’ record reads 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. They have been particularly solid away from home, winning three times on their travels this season. Each of their last four away league games has produced under 2.5 goals, suggesting a disciplined and compact approach when playing on the road. Their last visit to Stamford Bridge ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat, and they have managed just one win in their last six meetings with Chelsea.
Everton’s recent improvement has been driven by key signings such as Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, the latter scoring twice in the last three matches. The return of Tim Iroegbunam and Idrissa Gueye from suspension strengthens their midfield options, though Thiemo Barry remains a doubt due to a shoulder problem. With confidence high and a European spot within reach, the Toffees will look to end their long wait for a league victory at Stamford Bridge, where they last triumphed in 1994.
Historically, this fixture has been a low-scoring one, with eight of the last ten meetings producing under 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent weeks, and given their current form, another tight contest seems likely. Chelsea’s home advantage and attacking depth could give them a slight edge, but Everton’s confidence and organization make them a dangerous opponent capable of frustrating the hosts.
With both sides averaging just over a goal per game and recent trends pointing towards fewer goals, a cautious and tactical battle is expected. Chelsea will aim to control possession and create chances through their midfield, while Everton are likely to rely on quick transitions and set pieces to threaten. The outcome may hinge on which team can take advantage of limited opportunities in front of goal.
Chelsea vs Everton prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome for this Premier League clash is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Everton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
6
4
10
0