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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2025 5:13 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Apr 24, 2025 9:08 AM
At Stamford Bridge, Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea is looking to secure crucial points in the race for fifth place as they host David Moyes’ Everton in the opening fixture of Matchday 33 in the Premier League. The Blues come into this game riding high after a dramatic last-minute comeback win at Fulham, overturning an early deficit thanks to goals from George in the 83rd minute and Pedro Neto in stoppage time (93’). This victory kept Chelsea's Champions League hopes alive, bringing them within two points of Newcastle, who suffered a 4-1 defeat against Aston Villa. This clash with Everton arrives at a pivotal moment for the London side, as they will also face a key European test next Thursday in the first leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League semi-final against Swedish outfit Djurgården. This forces Enzo Maresca to rotate and carefully manage his squad in the coming weeks. While Chelsea are still fighting on two fronts, Everton have settled into mid-table security and have little left to play for this season — other than to spoil the ambitions of teams like Chelsea. The Toffees are coming off a loss to Manchester City, but recently drew with Arsenal and defeated Nottingham Forest, proving they can still pose a challenge. Expect an open and dynamic contest with chances at both ends.
In the Premier League, Chelsea are unbeaten in their last four matches, with two draws (against Ipswich and Brentford) and two wins (against Tottenham and Fulham). The Fulham win took them up to 57 points from 16 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats — firmly in the hunt for a Champions League qualification spot.
Playing at Stamford Bridge has certainly been an advantage for the Blues. They’ve earned 32 points at home this season, winning 9, drawing 5, and losing only 2 matches. They are unbeaten at home in their last 7 league games, with 5 wins and 2 draws.
Everton have shown inconsistent form in recent weeks. In their last 10 Premier League fixtures, they’ve recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses. Most recently, they fell 2-0 at home to Manchester City, leaving them on 38 points (8 wins, 14 draws, 11 defeats), positioned 13th in the standings.
Away from home, Moyes’ side has collected 18 points so far (4 wins, 6 draws, 6 defeats). However, they’ve lost just once in their last six away matches in the league — a defeat to Liverpool in the Merseyside derby on April 2. In their most recent away fixture, they secured an impressive 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest.
Given Chelsea’s urgent need to win and keep pressure on their direct rivals for a Champions League spot, it’s likely the Blues will start aggressively, looking to break the deadlock early and control the tempo of the match. Maresca will have one eye on Thursday’s crucial Conference League semi-final against Djurgården, so expect a strong start from Chelsea with the possibility of resting key players in the second half if the result is favorable.
Everton, while no longer chasing any particular objective in the league, remain a dangerous opponent. As shown in their recent trip to Nottingham, they are more than capable of upsetting the odds with disciplined performances.
It’s also worth noting that Chelsea have conceded in each of their last three games across all competitions, with four of their last five matches featuring over 2.5 total goals. Meanwhile, Everton have frequently conceded the opening goal — falling behind in four of their last five league outings.
For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm for Chelsea vs Everton predicts an open game with a final result featuring at least three goals (Over 2.5 goals).
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; James, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella; Fernandez, Caicedo; Madueke, Palmer, Sancho; Jackson. Manager: Maresca
Everton (4-2-3-1): Pickford; O'Brien, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Garner, Gueye; Harrison, Doucouré, Ndiaye; Beto. Manager: Moyes
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Everton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2